SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Referee: D. Palencia
Granada CF
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Curro Sánchez
Burgos
🟨
12'
Pau Casadesús
Granada CF
🟨
34'
Miguel Atienza
Burgos
🔄
46'
O. Naasei ↔ B. Diaby
Granada CF
🟨
59'
Sergio Ruiz
Granada CF
🟨
61'
Bambo Diaby
Granada CF
🔄
63'
G. Petit ↔ A. Sola
Granada CF
🔄
63'
P. Saenz ↔ S. Rodelas
Granada CF
🔄
63'
M. Atienza ↔ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Burgos
🔄
63'
I. Cordoba ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🔄
63'
Curro ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🟨
67'
Álex Sola
Granada CF
🟨
69'
Rubén Alcaraz
Granada CF
🔄
74'
P. Casadesus ↔ B. Diallo
Granada CF
🔄
77'
V. Mollejo ↔ M. Mejia
Burgos
🔄
78'
R. Alcaraz ↔ M. Trigueros
Granada CF
🔄
90+3'
F. Nino ↔ M. Exposito
Burgos
90'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Burgos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Granada CF Win 34.6%
Draw 12.1%
Burgos Win 53.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Granada CF1.13
Burgos1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Granada CF Granada CF
WWDLW
55 GF / 54 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
50 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
22
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
15
3.71
Shots on Goal
2.98

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Granada CF Granada CF 42 matches
Burgos Burgos 43 matches
Granada CF Statistic Burgos
14 Wins 20
12 Draws 12
16 Losses 11
55 Goals For 50
54 Goals Against 37
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
22 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 17
12 Failed To Score 15
3.71 Shots On Goal 2.98
11.43 Total Shots 9.56
4.14 Corners 3.72
46.6% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Burgos's more proactive style and Granada CF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Granada CF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Granada CF expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Burgos in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Burgos having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Burgos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Granada CF Analysis

Granada CF sit 14 with 48 points after 39 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 48:50, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Pascual (8 goals), J. M. Arnaiz (7 goals), P. Aleman (6 goals), with creative support from S. Faye (6 assists), P. Aleman (4 assists), A. Sola (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Burgos Analysis

Burgos are currently 8 in the standings with 63 points from 39 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 44:33 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (9 goals), F. Nino (7 goals), Curro (6 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (5 assists), Curro (4 assists), Iván Morante (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Granada CF won 2 times, Burgos won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Granada CF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Granada CF 4-3-3 / Burgos 4-4-2
H2H summary: Granada CF wins 2, draws 3, Burgos wins 1
Stats
Granada CF Granada CF
Burgos Burgos
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 5
17 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 3
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
405 Total passes 329
338 Passes accurate 261
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Granada CF
Formation
Burgos
A. Astralaga
A. Astralaga
P. Casadesus
P. Casadesus
O. Naasei
O. Naasei
Juanjo
Juanjo
D. Hormigo
D. Hormigo
S. Ruiz
S. Ruiz
R. Alcaraz
R. Alcaraz
I. Gonzalez
I. Gonzalez
P. Saenz
P. Saenz
G. Petit
G. Petit
J. M. Arnaiz
J. M. Arnaiz
A. Cantero
A. Cantero
A. Lizancos
A. Lizancos
S. Gonzalez
S. Gonzalez
G. Sierra
G. Sierra
F. Miguel
F. Miguel
M. Atienza
M. Atienza
I. Morante
I. Morante
V. Mollejo
V. Mollejo
Curro
Curro
I. Cordoba
I. Cordoba
F. Nino
F. Nino
Granada CF 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
A. Astralaga
G
2
P. Casadesus
↓ 74' 🟨 12'
D
28
O. Naasei
↓ 46'
D
36
Juanjo
D
3
D. Hormigo
D
20
S. Ruiz
🟨 59'
M
4
R. Alcaraz
↓ 78' 🟨 69'
M
41
I. Gonzalez
M
21
P. Saenz
↓ 63'
F
9
G. Petit
↓ 63'
F
11
J. M. Arnaiz
F
Substitutes
34
I. Garcia
G
10
M. Bouldini
F
7
A. Sola
↑ 63' 🟨 67'
F
22
B. Diallo
↑ 74'
D
14
M. Trigueros
↑ 78'
M
17
B. Diaby
↑ 46' 🟨 61'
D
23
L. Gagnidze
M
40
B. Diocou
F
26
S. Rodelas
↑ 63'
F
Burgos 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
A. Cantero
G
2
A. Lizancos
D
6
S. Gonzalez
D
8
G. Sierra
D
12
F. Miguel
D
5
M. Atienza
↓ 63' 🟨 34'
M
23
I. Morante
M
11
V. Mollejo
↓ 77'
M
16
Curro
↓ 63' 🟨 -5'
M
21
I. Cordoba
↓ 63'
M
9
F. Nino
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ruiz
G
15
A. Bunuel
D
3
O. Luengo
D
14
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
⚽ 90' ↑ 63'
M
28
S. del Cerro
M
31
F. Garcia
M
4
P. Galdames
↑ 63'
M
10
K. Appin
↑ 63'
M
7
M. Mejia
↑ 77'
F
22
B. Martinez
D
33
M. Exposito
↑ 90+3'
M
17
M. Cantero
M
Last matches: Granada CF
25.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Real Betis
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Juventud Torremolinos
1
1
D
30.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
L
24.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Mirandes
1
3
L
10.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Cordoba
0
1
L
01.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Zaragoza
1
0
W
26.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Almeria
2
4
L
19.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Albacete
1
4
L
12.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Cultural Leonesa
1
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Castellón
2
3
L
02.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Las Palmas
0
2
L
28.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Huesca
4
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Real Sociedad II
2
0
W
15.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
FC Andorra
1
1
D
08.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Deportivo La Coruna
2
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Malaga
0
1
L
20.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
1
2
L
14.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Valladolid
5
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Granada CF
Polessya
3
4
L
06.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Leganes
0
1
L
Last matches: Burgos
18.07.26
Fri
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
2
0
W
31.05.26
Seg
Burgos
FC Andorra
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
2
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Almeria
0
0
D
03.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
25.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Castellón
1
3
L
11.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Albacete
3
2
W
01.04.26
Seg
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Valladolid
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Cordoba
4
0
W
15.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Eibar
0
0
D
07.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Mirandes
2
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Zaragoza
1
0
W
22.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Racing Santander
0
1
L
14.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Cadiz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Las Palmas
0
0
D
31.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Leganes
2
1
W
23.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Malaga
0
3
L
H2H: Granada CF vs Burgos
16.05.26
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
0
1
L
22.09.25
H2H
Burgos
Granada CF
1
1
D
10.01.25
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
0
0
D
29.09.24
H2H
Burgos
Granada CF
2
2
D
04.03.23
H2H
Burgos
Granada CF
1
3
W
11.12.22
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
1
0
W
Last matches: Granada CF
25.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Real Betis
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Juventud Torremolinos
1
1
D
30.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Almeria
2
4
L
12.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Cultural Leonesa
1
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Huesca
4
2
W
15.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
FC Andorra
1
1
D
28.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Malaga
0
1
L
14.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Valladolid
5
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Granada CF
Polessya
3
4
L
01.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Racing Santander
1
0
W
19.01.26
Seg
Granada CF
Eibar
0
0
D
11.01.26
Seg
Granada CF
Castellón
0
0
D
06.01.26
Cop
Granada CF
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
L
21.12.25
Seg
Granada CF
Albacete
1
1
D
07.12.25
Seg
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
1
1
D
22.11.25
Seg
Granada CF
Cordoba
1
1
D
09.11.25
Seg
Granada CF
Zaragoza
3
1
W
25.10.25
Seg
Granada CF
Cadiz
0
0
D
10.10.25
Seg
Granada CF
Las Palmas
0
0
D
H2H at home: Granada CF
16.05.26
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
0
1
L
10.01.25
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
0
0
D
11.12.22
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
1
0
W
Last matches: Burgos
24.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
2
0
W
03.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Castellón
1
3
L
04.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Albacete
3
2
W
28.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Valladolid
1
0
W
15.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Eibar
0
0
D
28.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Zaragoza
1
0
W
22.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Racing Santander
0
1
L
07.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Las Palmas
0
0
D
23.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Malaga
0
3
L
03.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Cordoba
0
2
L
14.12.25
Seg
Burgos
Almeria
2
1
W
04.12.25
Cop
Burgos
Zaragoza
1
0
W
29.11.25
Seg
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
0
1
L
16.11.25
Seg
Burgos
Mirandes
2
0
W
01.11.25
Seg
Burgos
Leganes
2
1
W
28.10.25
Cop
Burgos
Atlético Tordesillas
2
1
W
20.10.25
Seg
Burgos
Cadiz
3
1
W
04.10.25
Seg
Burgos
Huesca
1
2
L
14.09.25
Seg
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
3
2
W
H2H away: Burgos
16.05.26
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
0
1
W
10.01.25
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
0
0
D
11.12.22
H2H
Granada CF
Burgos
1
0
L

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation