Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Goias
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Goias
7 matches
Vila Nova
7 matches
| Goias | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 7 | Goals For | 12 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 8.14 | Total Shots | 12.86 |
| 3.29 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vila Nova's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vila Nova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. Vila Nova carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Goias sit 17 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Goias have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Goias approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 7 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Anselmo Ramon (2 goals), Gege (2 goals), Cadu (1 goals), with creative support from Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 7 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 12:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Rafael Silva (3 goals), Dellatorre (2 goals), Ryan (2 goals), with creative support from Ryan (2 assists), Janderson (2 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 3 times, Vila Nova won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.27 goals per game.
Goias
3
1
7
4
2
6
Lineups
Goias
Athletic Club
Goias
Novorizontino
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
Avai
Goias
Botafogo SP
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Goias
São Bernardo
Goias
Cuiaba
Goias
Juventude
Goias
Criciuma
Goias
Londrina
Goias
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Goias
Novorizontino
Goias
Botafogo SP
Goias
Cuiaba
Goias
Criciuma
Goias
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 21 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:8 | 5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Goias
Home
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 8 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:24 | -14 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
