BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil
Goias
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
19'
Kadu
Goias
19'
Kadu
Goias
🔄
46'
Rai Nascimento ↔ Vitinho Mota
Londrina
🟨
57'
Wallace Reis
Londrina
🟨
58'
Cadu
Goias
🔄
61'
Lucas Marques ↔ Joao Tavares
Londrina
🔄
61'
Tarik ↔ Guilherme Dantas
Londrina
🔄
62'
Cadu ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
62'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Goias
🔄
67'
Ramon Menezes ↔ Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🔄
68'
Kadu ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🔄
68'
Juninho ↔ Gege
Goias
🔄
69'
Pablo Dyego ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🟨
74'
Djalma
Goias
🟨
77'
Guilherme Portuga
Londrina
🔄
83'
Nino Paraiba ↔ Andre Dhominique
Londrina
🟨
85'
Gilberto
Londrina
🟨
90+2'
Luiz Felipe
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 69.1%
Draw 13%
Londrina Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.25
Londrina1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
21 GF / 26 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
27 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
8
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
3.45
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 20 matches
Londrina Londrina 20 matches
Goias Statistic Londrina
8 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 10
21 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 31
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 7
3.45 Shots On Goal 3.65
10.9 Total Shots 12.6
4.45 Corners 5.35
50.4% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Goias arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 29 points compared to Londrina in 17 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Londrina. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 9 with 29 points after 20 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (4 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Londrina Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 17, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 27:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 3 times, Londrina won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 3, draws 5, Londrina wins 2
Stats
Goias Goias
Londrina Londrina
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 8
9 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
515 Total passes 416
459 Passes accurate 355
1.50 expected_goals 0.63
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Goias
Formation
Londrina
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares
Rodrigo Soares
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Ramon Menezes
Ramon Menezes
Nicolas
Nicolas
Lourenco
Lourenco
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
Juninho
Juninho
Kadu
Kadu
Cadu
Cadu
Mauricio Kozlinski
Mauricio Kozlinski
Nino Paraiba
Nino Paraiba
Gabriel Lacerda
Gabriel Lacerda
Wallace
Wallace
Heron
Heron
Lucas Marques
Lucas Marques
Tarik
Tarik
Joao Vitor
Joao Vitor
Rai Nascimento
Rai Nascimento
Willian Pottker
Willian Pottker
Pablo Dyego
Pablo Dyego
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
2
Rodrigo Soares
↓ 62'
D
3
Luiz Felipe
🟨 90+2'
D
4
Ramon Menezes
↓ 67'
D
6
Nicolas
D
97
Lourenco
M
5
Filipe Machado
M
10
Lucas Lima
M
8
Juninho
↓ 68'
M
40
Kadu
⚽ 19' ↓ 68'
M
18
Cadu
↓ 62' 🟨 58'
F
Substitutes
12
Ezequiel
G
9
Anselmo Ramon
↑ 62'
F
63
Marcos Vinicius
↑ 62'
D
54
Djalma Silva
↑ 68' 🟨 74'
D
21
Jean Carlos
66
Danilo Cunha
D
28
Gege
↑ 68'
M
15
E. Garcia
F
14
Lucas Ribeiro
↑ 67'
D
55
Baldoria
M
25
Luisao
D
Londrina 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
2
Nino Paraiba
↓ 83'
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
4
Wallace
🟨 57'
D
34
Heron
D
8
Lucas Marques
↓ 61'
M
5
Tarik
↓ 61'
M
22
Joao Vitor
M
28
Rai Nascimento
↓ 46'
F
23
Willian Pottker
F
11
Pablo Dyego
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
Luan Ribeiro
G
12
Zanella
G
33
Kevyn
D
7
Vitinho Mota
↑ 46'
F
32
Joao Tavares
↑ 61'
M
44
Caio Rodrigues
D
9
Gilberto
↑ 69' 🟨 85'
F
55
Guilherme Dantas
↑ 61'
13
Andre Dhominique
↑ 83'
D
27
Murilo Sousa
M
3
Yago Lincoln
D
75
Kaue Leonardo
D
Last matches: Goias
22.08.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
14.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
H2H: Goias vs Londrina
10.08.26
H2H
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
01.04.26
H2H
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
19.10.21
H2H
Londrina
Goias
0
0
D
17.07.21
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
0
D
02.10.18
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
0
D
12.06.18
H2H
Londrina
Goias
1
3
W
07.11.17
H2H
Londrina
Goias
2
0
L
18.07.17
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
1
L
24.08.16
H2H
Londrina
Goias
0
1
W
20.05.16
H2H
Goias
Londrina
1
1
D
Last matches: Goias
19.08.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Goias
10.08.26
H2H
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
0
D
02.10.18
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
0
D
18.07.17
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
1
L
20.05.16
H2H
Goias
Londrina
1
1
D
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H away: Londrina
10.08.26
H2H
Goias
Londrina
1
0
L
17.07.21
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
0
D
02.10.18
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
0
D
18.07.17
H2H
Goias
Londrina
0
1
W
20.05.16
H2H
Goias
Londrina
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11
Goias Home
24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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