EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
El-Gazel Stadium
Referee: M. El Ghazy
Ghazl El Mehalla
Match Timeline
Al Ittihad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
-5'
Seif Emam
Ghazl El Mehalla
VAR
28'
Rached Arfaoui
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
31'
M. Dunga ↔ A. Mohamed
Al Ittihad
🟨
32'
John Okoye Ebuka
Al Ittihad
🟨
59'
Yehia Zakaria
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
61'
R. Arfaoui ↔ M. Awadalla Ahmed
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
61'
J. Mwanga ↔ Armoosha
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
70'
M. Salah ↔ A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
70'
M. Emad ↔ Y. Wahid
Al Ittihad
🔄
71'
J. Ebuka ↔ Mabululu
Al Ittihad
🔄
89'
K. Saidi ↔ M. Ashraf
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
90+6'
Mohamed Grendo
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
90+5'
Mahmoud Alaa
Al Ittihad
🟨
90+5'
Abdelghani Mohamed
Al Ittihad
🔄
90+3'
A. Magdi ↔ A. Eid
Al Ittihad
🔄
90+3'
Afsha ↔ F. Farid
Al Ittihad
90'
Armoosha · Assist: A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
48.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 39.6%
Draw 27.4%
Al Ittihad Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ghazl El Mehalla0.91
Al Ittihad0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WWDLW
22 GF / 24 GA
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
WLDWL
24 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
12
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
12
2.27
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 30 matches
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 30 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Statistic Al Ittihad
4 Wins 8
19 Draws 8
7 Losses 14
22 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 35
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
12 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 17
7 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 4
16 Clean Sheets 11
15 Failed To Score 11
2.27 Shots On Goal 3.23
8.7 Total Shots 9.9
3.5 Corners 4.1
46.9% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Ghazl El Mehalla's more proactive style and Al Ittihad's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Ittihad. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 31 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 10:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Shousha (6 goals), M. Salah (4 goals), Abdelrahim Amoory (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), A. Shousha (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Al Ittihad Analysis

With 32 points from 10 games and a place of 16, Al Ittihad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats with a 9:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Ebuka (5 goals), F. Farid (4 goals), Afsha (2 goals), with creative support from A. Liadi (3 assists), Afsha (2 assists), Mohamed Toni (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ghazl El Mehalla won 3 times, Al Ittihad won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Ghazl El Mehalla's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.6%)
Predicted formations: Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1 / Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ghazl El Mehalla wins 3, draws 7, Al Ittihad wins 5
Stats
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 3
1 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
305 Total passes 392
240 Passes accurate 322
0.59 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ghazl El Mehalla
Formation
Al Ittihad
M. Amer
M. Amer
A. Gamal
A. Gamal
A. El Aash
A. El Aash
A. Shousha
A. Shousha
Y. Zakaria
Y. Zakaria
M. Toure
M. Toure
M. Abdelsalam
M. Abdelsalam
M. Salah
M. Salah
R. Arfaoui
R. Arfaoui
K. Saidi
K. Saidi
J. Mwanga
J. Mwanga
M. Genesh
M. Genesh
K. Abdelfattah
K. Abdelfattah
M. Ibrahim
M. Ibrahim
M. Alaa
M. Alaa
K. El Deeb
K. El Deeb
A. Magdi
A. Magdi
M. Emad
M. Emad
M. Dunga
M. Dunga
M. Tony
M. Tony
Afsha
Afsha
J. Ebuka
J. Ebuka
Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Amer
G
27
A. Gamal
D
3
A. El Aash
D
4
A. Shousha
D
12
Y. Zakaria
🟨 59'
D
20
M. Toure
M
39
M. Abdelsalam
M
42
M. Salah
↓ 70'
M
9
R. Arfaoui
↓ 61'
M
41
K. Saidi
↓ 89'
M
90
J. Mwanga
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
18
A. El Arabi
G
17
M. Bolbol
M
22
A. Etman
🎯 90' ↑ 70'
M
5
S. Emam
🟥 -5'
D
7
M. Ashraf
↑ 89'
21
M. Awadalla Ahmed
↑ 61'
13
M. Oufa
D
19
Armoosha
⚽ 90' ↑ 61'
M
44
A. Yasser
M
Al Ittihad 4-4-2
Starting XI
16
M. Genesh
2
K. Abdelfattah
5
M. Ibrahim
D
4
M. Alaa
🟨 90+5'
D
17
K. El Deeb
D
27
A. Magdi
↓ 90+3'
M
25
M. Emad
↓ 70'
M
26
M. Dunga
↓ 31'
M
13
M. Tony
M
10
Afsha
↓ 90+3'
F
18
J. Ebuka
↓ 71' 🟨 32'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Soliman
14
A. Mohamed
↑ 31' 🟨 90+5'
F
33
A. Eid
↑ 90+3'
F
11
Y. Wahid
↑ 70'
F
90
Mabululu
↑ 71'
F
9
F. Farid
↑ 90+3'
F
6
M. Shabana
D
88
A. Mahmoud
D
34
M. Sherif
D
Last matches: Ghazl El Mehalla
29.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
4
2
W
23.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
2
3
L
07.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Petrojet
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Kahraba Ismailia
3
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
0
0
D
05.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ceramica Cleopatra
2
3
L
29.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
0
D
22.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
2
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Al Ittihad
29.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
National Bank of Egypt
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ismaily SC
3
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Geish
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Future FC
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Petrojet
1
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Wadi Degla
1
4
L
23.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Haras El Hodood
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Masr
2
1
W
09.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Pharco
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
0
W
25.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Petrojet
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Smouha SC
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Geish
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Haras El Hodood
2
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Gouna FC
0
2
L
H2H: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad
18.05.26
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
0
W
02.03.26
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
21.12.24
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
31.03.23
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
2
0
W
30.11.22
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
2
W
30.08.22
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
3
0
L
25.06.21
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
09.03.21
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
03.05.16
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
20.12.15
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
19.04.14
H2H
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
1
L
03.02.14
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
2
L
13.12.11
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
Last matches: Ghazl El Mehalla
29.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
4
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
23.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Petrojet
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
0
0
D
24.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
17.10.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Kahraba Ismailia
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Enppi
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
25.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ahly
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Smouha SC
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ghazl El Mehalla
18.05.26
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
0
W
21.12.24
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
31.03.23
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
2
0
W
30.08.22
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
25.06.21
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
20.12.15
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
03.02.14
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
2
L
13.12.11
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
Last matches: Al Ittihad
29.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
National Bank of Egypt
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Future FC
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Wadi Degla
1
4
L
23.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Haras El Hodood
2
2
D
09.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
25.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Petrojet
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Geish
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
3
L
02.11.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Pyramids FC
1
2
L
22.10.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Al Ahly
1
2
L
22.09.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Masr
0
1
L
12.09.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Pharco
0
0
D
19.08.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
08.08.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
AL Masry
1
3
L
H2H away: Al Ittihad
18.05.26
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
0
L
21.12.24
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
31.03.23
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
2
0
L
30.08.22
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
25.06.21
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
20.12.15
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
1
W
03.02.14
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
2
W
13.12.11
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)