Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
75%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Genoa
AC Milan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Genoa
39 matches
AC Milan
40 matches
| Genoa | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 21 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 46 | Goals For | 55 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 11.59 | Total Shots | 13.75 |
| 3.69 | Corners | 4.58 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AC Milan's more proactive style and Genoa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AC Milan. AC Milan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 67 points while Genoa sit 14 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. AC Milan arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Genoa expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and AC Milan in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Milan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Genoa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 41 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 40:48 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lorenzo Colombo (7 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 67 points from 36 games and a place of 4, AC Milan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 19 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 50:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Leao (9 goals), C. Pulisic (8 goals), A. Rabiot (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rabiot (4 assists), S. Ricci (4 assists), R. Leao (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genoa won 1 times, AC Milan won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from Genoa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Away
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Genoa
Home
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|