Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fredrikstad
21 matches
Lillestrom
24 matches
| Fredrikstad | Statistic | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 47 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.09 | Shots On Goal | 4.64 |
| 11.91 | Total Shots | 13.55 |
| 4.27 | Corners | 5.45 |
| 48.4% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Lillestrom's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lillestrom. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lillestrom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lillestrom having the stronger overall control. Lillestrom arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 11 matches, Fredrikstad have collected 14 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 15:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Eid (2 goals), O. Ohlenschlaeger (2 goals), R. R. Shein (2 goals), with creative support from D. Eid (2 assists), O. Ohlenschlaeger (1 assists), R. R. Shein (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lillestrom sit 4 with 19 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 17:11 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Karlsbakk (4 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Va (4 assists), T. Olsen (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 3 times, Lillestrom won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Fredrikstad
1
4
6
3
8
2
Lineups
Fredrikstad
Start
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Start
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
Brann
Fredrikstad
Viking
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
Tromso
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
Viking
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Tromso
Lillestrom
Start
Lillestrom
Molde
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Tromso
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Start
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Viking
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
jerv
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Tromso
Lillestrom
Molde
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Tromso
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 31 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 39:15 | 24 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | 15 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lillestrom
Away
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 24 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 22 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:27 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
Home
|
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 20 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 22:36 | -14 | 14 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 10 |
L
L
W
L
L
|