France
Match Timeline
Senegal
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
France Win 78.3%
Draw 12%
Senegal Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
France1.75
Senegal1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
France
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Senegal
WLDWL
7 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
4.75
Shots on Goal
2.25
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
France
4 matches
Senegal
4 matches
| France | Statistic | Senegal |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 7 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 2.25 |
| 15.75 | Total Shots | 4.75 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 60.5% | Ball Possession | 28.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, France won 1 times, Senegal won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from France's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.2%)
Predicted formations: France 4-2-3-1 / Senegal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: France wins 1, draws 0, Senegal wins 0
Stats
France
Senegal
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
France
Formation
Senegal
M. Maignan
J. Kounde
D. Upamecano
W. Saliba
T. Hernandez
A. Tchouameni
A. Rabiot
M. Olise
O. Dembele
D. Doue
K. Mbappe
E. Mendy
K. Diatta
K. Koulibaly
M. Niakhate
M. Diouf
I. Gueye
P. Gueye
I. Sarr
L. Camara
S. Mane
N. Jackson
France
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
5
J. Kounde
D
4
D. Upamecano
D
17
W. Saliba
D
19
T. Hernandez
D
8
A. Tchouameni
M
14
A. Rabiot
M
🎯 82'
11
M. Olise
M
🎯 66'
7
O. Dembele
M
↓ 80'
20
D. Doue
M
↓ 87'
10
K. Mbappe
F
⚽ 66'
⚽ 90'
Substitutes
1
B. Samba
G
23
R. Risser
G
15
I. Konate
D
26
M. Lacroix
D
2
M. Gusto
D
25
M. Akliouche
M
18
W. Zaire-Emery
M
3
L. Digne
D
13
N. Kante
M
21
L. Hernandez
D
9
M. Thuram
F
22
J. Mateta
F
24
R. Cherki
M
↑ 87'
6
M. Kone
M
12
B. Barcola
F
⚽ 82'
↑ 80'
Senegal
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
E. Mendy
G
15
K. Diatta
D
3
K. Koulibaly
D
19
M. Niakhate
D
25
M. Diouf
D
5
I. Gueye
M
↓ 88'
26
P. Gueye
M
↓ 83'
18
I. Sarr
M
↓ 75'
8
L. Camara
M
↓ 76'
10
S. Mane
M
11
N. Jackson
F
↓ 83'
Substitutes
23
M. Diaw
G
1
Y. Diouf
G
14
I. Jakobs
D
9
B. Dieng
F
↑ 83'
24
A. Mendy
D
2
M. Sarr
D
21
H. Diarra
M
↑ 76'
7
A. Diao
F
4
A. Seck
D
12
C. Ndiaye
F
6
P. Ciss
M
↑ 88'
13
I. Ndiaye
F
🎯 90'
↑ 83'
17
P. M. Sarr
M
20
I. Mbaye
F
⚽ 90'
↑ 75'
22
B. Sapoko Ndiaye
M
Last matches: France
18.07.26
Wor
France
England
4
6
L
14.07.26
Wor
France
Spain
0
2
L
09.07.26
Wor
France
Morocco
2
0
W
04.07.26
Wor
France
Paraguay
1
0
W
30.06.26
Wor
France
Sweden
3
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
France
Norway
4
1
W
22.06.26
Wor
France
Iraq
3
0
W
08.06.26
Fri
France
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
France
Ivory Coast
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
France
Colombia
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
France
Brazil
2
1
W
16.11.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
13.11.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
4
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
2
D
10.10.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
1
W
05.09.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
2
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
France
Germany
2
0
W
05.06.25
UEF
France
Spain
4
5
L
23.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
2
0
W
Last matches: Senegal
01.07.26
Wor
Senegal
Belgium
2
3
L
26.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Iraq
5
0
W
23.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Norway
2
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Gambia
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Peru
2
0
W
H2H: France vs Senegal
16.06.26
H2H
France
Senegal
3
1
W
Last matches: France
18.07.26
Wor
France
England
4
6
L
14.07.26
Wor
France
Spain
0
2
L
09.07.26
Wor
France
Morocco
2
0
W
30.06.26
Wor
France
Sweden
3
0
W
22.06.26
Wor
France
Iraq
3
0
W
08.06.26
Fri
France
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
France
Ivory Coast
1
2
L
13.11.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
4
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
2
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
France
Israel
0
0
D
09.09.24
UEF
France
Belgium
2
0
W
06.09.24
UEF
France
Italy
1
3
L
H2H at home: France
16.06.26
H2H
France
Senegal
3
1
W
Last matches: Senegal
01.07.26
Wor
Senegal
Belgium
2
3
L
23.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Norway
2
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
H2H away: Senegal
16.06.26
H2H
France
Senegal
3
1
L