NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Referee: J. Kooij
Fortuna Sittard
Match Timeline
Feyenoord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Philip Brittijn
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
49'
Anis Hadj Moussa
Feyenoord
51'
K. Sierhuis · Assist: D. Limnios
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
66'
Luciano Valente
Feyenoord
🔄
67'
G. Trauner ↔ J. St. Juste
Feyenoord
🔄
67'
T. Kraaijeveld ↔ G. Read
Feyenoord
🔄
67'
T. van den Elshout ↔ G. Diarra
Feyenoord
🔄
70'
D. Limnios ↔ K. Peterson
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
71'
M. Ihattaren ↔ P. Gladon
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
72'
Jasper Dahlhaus
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
77'
K. Sierhuis ↔ Y. Oukili
Fortuna Sittard
VAR
79'
Paul Gladon
Fortuna Sittard
🟥
80'
Paul Gladon
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
82'
M. Deijl ↔ C. Tengstedt
Feyenoord
84'
T. Watanabe
Feyenoord
🟨
90+5'
Ayase Ueda
Feyenoord
🔄
90'
I. Marquez ↔ O. Johnson
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
90+4'
L. Valente ↔ J. Lotomba
Feyenoord
90'
G. Read · Assist: O. Targhalline
Feyenoord

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Sittard Win 25.2%
Draw 13%
Feyenoord Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard1.49
Feyenoord1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
WWDLW
45 GF / 57 GA
Feyenoord Feyenoord
WLDWL
80 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
24
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
26
4.58
Shots on Goal
6.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 31 matches
Feyenoord Feyenoord 41 matches
Fortuna Sittard Statistic Feyenoord
10 Wins 20
6 Draws 7
15 Losses 14
45 Goals For 80
57 Goals Against 63
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
24 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 35
21 Over 2.5 26
12 Over 3.5 17
3 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 7
4.58 Shots On Goal 6.02
12.87 Total Shots 16.15
4.35 Corners 6.49
44.8% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Feyenoord's more proactive style and Fortuna Sittard's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Feyenoord carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 58 points while Fortuna Sittard sit 12 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Feyenoord. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortuna Sittard expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Feyenoord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Feyenoord having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Fortuna Sittard have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Fortuna Sittard Analysis

With 36 points from 31 games and a place of 12, Fortuna Sittard still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 45:57 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kaj Sierhuis (10 goals), M. Ihattaren (6 goals), P. Gladon (5 goals), with creative support from M. Ihattaren (10 assists), D. Limnios (5 assists), I. Pinto (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Feyenoord Analysis

Feyenoord come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 58 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 65:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Ueda (25 goals), A. Hadj Moussa (8 goals), S. Steijn (7 goals), with creative support from J. Bos (7 assists), A. Hadj Moussa (6 assists), L. Valente (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 1 times, Feyenoord won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1 / Feyenoord 4-3-3
Missing players: Fortuna Sittard 9, Feyenoord 10
H2H summary: Fortuna Sittard wins 1, draws 3, Feyenoord wins 11
Stats
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord Feyenoord
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
1 Corner Kicks 8
16 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
353 Total passes 387
249 Passes accurate 311
0.77 expected_goals 2.50
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard
Formation
Feyenoord
M. Branderhorst
M. Branderhorst
N. Kasanwirjo
N. Kasanwirjo
I. Marquez
I. Marquez
J. Hubner
J. Hubner
J. Dahlhaus
J. Dahlhaus
S. van Ottele
S. van Ottele
P. Brittijn
P. Brittijn
M. Ihattaren
M. Ihattaren
L. Duijvestijn
L. Duijvestijn
D. Limnios
🎯
D. Limnios
K. Sierhuis
K. Sierhuis
T. Wellenreuther
T. Wellenreuther
M. Deijl
M. Deijl
G. Trauner
G. Trauner
T. Watanabe
T. Watanabe
J. Bos
J. Bos
T. Kraaijeveld
T. Kraaijeveld
O. Targhalline
🎯
O. Targhalline
A. Hadj Moussa
A. Hadj Moussa
L. Valente
L. Valente
T. van den Elshout
T. van den Elshout
A. Ueda
A. Ueda
Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
M. Branderhorst
G
21
N. Kasanwirjo
D
44
I. Marquez
↓ 90'
D
28
J. Hubner
D
8
J. Dahlhaus
🟨 72'
D
6
S. van Ottele
M
23
P. Brittijn
🟨 45+1'
M
52
M. Ihattaren
↓ 71'
M
70
L. Duijvestijn
M
18
D. Limnios
🎯 51' ↓ 70'
M
9
K. Sierhuis
⚽ 51' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Koopmans
G
25
N. Martens
G
10
A. Halilovic
M
45
O. Johnson
↑ 90'
F
7
K. Peterson
↑ 70'
F
19
P. Gladon
↑ 71' 🟥 80'
F
5
Y. Oukili
↑ 77'
M
38
T. Schenkhuizen
M
43
A. Bah
D
46
M. Gbemou
M
Feyenoord 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
T. Wellenreuther
G
20
M. Deijl
↓ 82'
D
18
G. Trauner
↓ 67'
D
4
T. Watanabe
⚽ 84'
D
15
J. Bos
D
24
T. Kraaijeveld
↓ 67'
M
28
O. Targhalline
🎯 90'
M
23
A. Hadj Moussa
🟨 49'
M
10
L. Valente
↓ 90+4' 🟨 66'
M
44
T. van den Elshout
↓ 67'
M
9
A. Ueda
🟨 90+5'
F
Substitutes
39
L. Bossin
G
13
S. Benda
G
19
R. Sterling
F
8
J. St. Juste
↑ 67'
D
30
J. Lotomba
↑ 90+4'
D
32
A. Sliti
F
26
G. Read
⚽ 90' ↑ 67'
D
17
C. Tengstedt
↑ 82'
F
27
G. Diarra
↑ 67'
F
79
I. Grootfaam
M
Last matches: Fortuna Sittard
17.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
FC Volendam
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1
4
L
28.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
20.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
4
L
07.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
2
2
D
01.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
2
1
W
17.01.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
21.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
13.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
3
L
29.11.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles
1
1
D
Last matches: Feyenoord
17.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Groningen
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
FC Volendam
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Ajax
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Excelsior
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
NAC Breda
3
3
D
01.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Twente
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Telstar
2
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
1
0
W
08.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Utrecht
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
0
3
L
29.01.26
UEF
Feyenoord
Real Betis
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Heracles
4
2
W
22.01.26
UEF
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
3
0
W
18.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
3
4
L
11.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
2
2
D
21.12.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Twente
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Ajax
0
2
L
H2H: Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord
03.05.26
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
L
17.09.25
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
0
2
L
30.11.24
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
14.04.24
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
0
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
0
0
D
26.02.23
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
2
4
L
22.10.22
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
3
L
05.12.21
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
5
0
L
04.04.21
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
L
22.11.20
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
3
L
22.02.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
L
28.01.20
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
L
06.10.19
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
4
2
W
Last matches: Fortuna Sittard
10.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1
4
L
20.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
21.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
06.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
3
L
29.11.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles
1
1
D
08.11.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
2
0
W
25.10.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
1
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
FC Volendam
1
0
W
20.09.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
08.08.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
H2H at home: Fortuna Sittard
03.05.26
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
0
2
L
14.04.24
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
0
1
L
26.02.23
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
2
4
L
01.05.22
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
3
L
22.11.20
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
3
L
28.01.20
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
L
06.10.19
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
4
2
W
Last matches: Feyenoord
17.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
FC Volendam
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
NAC Breda
3
3
D
01.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Twente
0
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Utrecht
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
0
3
L
29.01.26
UEF
Feyenoord
Real Betis
1
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
2
2
D
14.12.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Ajax
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Feyenoord
FCSB
3
4
L
30.11.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Telstar
2
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
1
2
L
06.11.25
UEF
Feyenoord
VfB Stuttgart
0
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Heracles
7
0
W
28.09.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
W
24.09.25
UEF
Feyenoord
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.09.25
Ere
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
31.08.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Excelsior
2
1
W
H2H away: Feyenoord
03.05.26
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
W
12.04.25
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
0
2
W
14.04.24
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
0
1
W
26.02.23
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
2
4
W
01.05.22
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
3
W
22.11.20
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
3
W
28.01.20
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
W
06.10.19
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
4
2
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L

Missing Players

Fortuna Sittard 9 missing
-
R. Bayram
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Branderhorst
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Halilovic
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Lonwijk
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Marsman
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
D. Sinkgraven
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Michut
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
I. Pinto
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
L. Tunjic
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Feyenoord 10 missing
-
T. Beelen
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
Hwang In-Beom
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Jeng
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
G. Smal
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
S. Steijn
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Zand
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. van Persie
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Nieuwkoop
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Ahmedhodzic
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
L. Sauer
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT