COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds 1.49
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
1.49
BTTS No
50.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza FC Win 84.3%
Draw 7.8%
Deportivo Pereira Win 7.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza FC1.35
Deportivo Pereira1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 28 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
15 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 20 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 20 matches
Fortaleza FC Statistic Deportivo Pereira
5 Wins 1
8 Draws 7
7 Losses 12
23 Goals For 15
28 Goals Against 33
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
15 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 11
3.6 Shots On Goal 3.3
11.8 Total Shots 9.05
4.3 Corners 2.45
54.4% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fortaleza FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 15 with 22 points compared to Deportivo Pereira in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Deportivo Pereira arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Deportivo Pereira in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pereira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pereira.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Fortaleza FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 22:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 20 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 3 times, Deportivo Pereira won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza FC 4-4-1-1 / Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza FC wins 3, draws 5, Deportivo Pereira wins 6
Last matches: Fortaleza FC
26.07.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Águilas Doradas
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
31.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
19.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Junior
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Jaguares
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
2
4
L
16.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
1
4
L
07.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
17.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Pereira
24.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
2
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
2
2
D
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Bucaramanga
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
1
L
03.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Junior
2
3
L
28.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
2
2
D
24.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
2
L
H2H: Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pereira
24.01.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
10.08.25
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
03.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
23.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
2
0
L
13.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
16.05.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
09.05.24
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
1
W
08.02.24
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
2
0
L
24.07.19
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
1
0
L
02.02.19
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
L
21.07.18
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
L
11.02.18
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
1
0
L
30.09.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
1
D
01.05.17
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Fortaleza FC
03.05.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Águilas Doradas
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Jaguares
2
1
W
16.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
03.12.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
0
2
L
18.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Junior
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
2
0
W
14.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
0
W
08.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
2
0
W
H2H at home: Fortaleza FC
10.08.25
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
13.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
16.05.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
02.02.19
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
L
21.07.18
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
L
30.09.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Pereira
24.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
2
2
D
10.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Bucaramanga
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
1
5
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
2
2
D
12.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
0
4
L
28.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Junior
2
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
22.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
1
1
D
06.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Envigado
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
25.07.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
H2H away: Deportivo Pereira
10.08.25
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
13.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
L
16.05.24
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
L
02.02.19
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
W
21.07.18
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
W
30.09.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.04
Draw 3.88
Home 1.49
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.62
Over 2.25 1.88
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 2.75 2.49
Over 3.5 3.83
Under 1.5 2.97
Under 1.75 2.62
Under 2.0 2.27
Under 2.25 1.90
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.5 1.24
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.70
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.40
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.71
Draw 3.82
Home 1.51
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.74
Draw 2.10
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.15
Draw 2.48
Home 1.87
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.19
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 2.75 2.44
Over 3.0 2.96
Over 3.25 3.23
Over 3.5 3.58
Over 3.75 4.50
Over 4.0 6.20
Over 4.25 6.54
Over 4.5 6.85
Over 5.5 14.50
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.40
Under 0.75 6.84
Under 1.0 6.25
Under 1.25 3.76
Under 1.5 2.83
Under 1.75 2.53
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.32
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 3.85
Home 1.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.40
Draw 2.20
Home 1.98
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 2.55
Home 1.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.75
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.30
Over 3.0 2.85
Over 3.25 3.20
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 3.75 4.35
Over 4.0 6.00
Over 4.25 7.00
Over 4.5 7.50
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.0 2.30
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.16
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W L D L W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L D L D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification