COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
01.08.2026 01:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Referee: A. Moncada
Fortaleza FC
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pereira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
L. Moreno
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
63'
S. Navarro ↔ J. Velasquez
Fortaleza FC
🔄
63'
J. Balanta ↔ A. Copete
Fortaleza FC
🔄
64'
J. Montoya ↔ S. Acosta
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
64'
L. Moreno ↔ F. Mosquera
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
66'
I. Montano
Fortaleza FC
🟨
68'
J. Velasquez
Fortaleza FC
🔄
70'
J. Castillo ↔ S. Ramirez
Fortaleza FC
🔄
77'
I. Montano ↔ J. Herrera
Fortaleza FC
🔄
77'
S. Vivas ↔ R. D. Rivas Torres
Fortaleza FC
🔄
81'
J. Largacha ↔ N. Rengifo
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
85'
J. Monroy
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
86'
M. Aguirre ↔ F. Delgado
Deportivo Pereira

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza FC Win 84.3%
Draw 7.8%
Deportivo Pereira Win 7.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza FC1.35
Deportivo Pereira1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 28 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
15 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 20 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 20 matches
Fortaleza FC Statistic Deportivo Pereira
5 Wins 1
8 Draws 7
7 Losses 12
23 Goals For 15
28 Goals Against 33
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
15 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 11
3.6 Shots On Goal 3.3
11.8 Total Shots 9.05
4.3 Corners 2.45
54.4% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fortaleza FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 15 with 22 points compared to Deportivo Pereira in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Deportivo Pereira arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Deportivo Pereira in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pereira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pereira.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Fortaleza FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 22:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 20 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 3 times, Deportivo Pereira won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza FC 4-4-1-1 / Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza FC wins 3, draws 6, Deportivo Pereira wins 6

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification