BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: B. Machado
Fortaleza EC
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Matheus Rossetto
Fortaleza EC
🟨
29'
Emanuel Brítez
Fortaleza EC
36'
Vitinho · Assist: Matheus Rossetto
Fortaleza EC
🟨
45+1'
Caio Rodrigues
Londrina
🔄
46'
Matheus Rossetto ↔ Rodrigo
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Andre Luiz ↔ Andre Cardoso
Londrina
🟨
51'
Vitinho
Londrina
53'
Luiz Fernando
Fortaleza EC
🔄
56'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina
🔄
56'
Thalis ↔ Caio Rafael
Londrina
🟨
63'
Rafael Monteiro
Londrina
🔄
65'
Joao Tavares ↔ Fabiano
Londrina
🔄
74'
G. Fuentes ↔ Mauricio Junior
Fortaleza EC
🔄
75'
Caio Rodrigues ↔ Juninho
Londrina
🔄
79'
Rafael Monteiro ↔ Heron
Londrina
🟨
83'
Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
🟨
83'
Iago Teles
Londrina
🔄
83'
Vitinho ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
🔄
84'
J. B. Miritello ↔ Kayke
Fortaleza EC
🔄
90+3'
Lucas Sasha ↔ Ryan
Fortaleza EC
🔄
90+3'
Luiz Fernando ↔ Lucca Prior
Fortaleza EC
90'
Lucca Prior · Assist: Kayke
Fortaleza EC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza EC Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
Londrina Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC1.4
Londrina1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
12 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
7
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 9 matches
Londrina Londrina 9 matches
Fortaleza EC Statistic Londrina
4 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 5
11 Goals For 12
10 Goals Against 15
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
4 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 3
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.44
12.33 Total Shots 12.33
3.89 Corners 6.56
40.7% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 15 points compared to Londrina in 18 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Londrina arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Londrina in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Londrina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Placed 5 with 15 points from 9 outings, Fortaleza EC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), Vitinho (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 8 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 12:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago (2 goals), Andre Cardoso (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago (1 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 2 times, Londrina won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1 / Londrina 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fortaleza EC wins 2, draws 1, Londrina wins 0
Stats
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Londrina Londrina
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
459 Total passes 437
406 Passes accurate 373
2.38 expected_goals 0.28
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
Formation
Londrina
Joao Ricardo
Joao Ricardo
E. Britez
E. Britez
Luan Freitas
Luan Freitas
Lucas Gazal
Lucas Gazal
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Matheus Rossetto
🎯
Matheus Rossetto
Lucas Sasha
Lucas Sasha
G. Fuentes
G. Fuentes
Vitinho
Vitinho
Luiz Fernando
Luiz Fernando
J. B. Miritello
J. B. Miritello
Mauricio Kozlinski
Mauricio Kozlinski
Andre Dhominique
Andre Dhominique
Caio Rodrigues
Caio Rodrigues
Gabriel Lacerda
Gabriel Lacerda
Rafael Monteiro
Rafael Monteiro
Andre Luiz
Andre Luiz
Vitinho Mota
Vitinho Mota
Joao Tavares
Joao Tavares
Thalis
Thalis
Iago Teles
Iago Teles
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos
Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Joao Ricardo
G
2
E. Britez
🟨 29'
D
4
Luan Freitas
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
75
Rodriguinho
🟨 83'
M
20
Matheus Rossetto
🎯 36' ↓ 46' 🟨 28'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
↓ 90+3'
M
18
G. Fuentes
↓ 74'
M
11
Vitinho
⚽ 36' ↓ 83'
F
32
Luiz Fernando
⚽ 53' ↓ 90+3'
F
9
J. B. Miritello
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
10
Lucas Crispim
M
29
Rodrigo
↑ 46'
M
13
Mauricio Junior
↑ 74'
D
8
Ronald
M
37
Ryan
↑ 90+3'
M
28
Paulinho
D
38
Lucca Prior
⚽ 90' ↑ 90+3'
M
99
Kayke
🎯 90' ↑ 84'
F
31
Welliton
↑ 83'
F
77
Paulo Baya
F
33
Kaua Rocha
D
Londrina 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
13
Andre Dhominique
D
27
Caio Rodrigues
↓ 75' 🟨 45+1'
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
6
Rafael Monteiro
↓ 79' 🟨 63'
D
5
Andre Luiz
↓ 46'
M
7
Vitinho Mota
↓ 56' 🟨 51'
M
32
Joao Tavares
↓ 65'
M
96
Thalis
↓ 56'
M
11
Iago Teles
🟨 83'
M
9
Bruno Santos
F
Substitutes
1
Luan Ribeiro
G
18
Paulinho Moccelin
↑ 56'
F
55
Caio Rafael
↑ 56'
F
77
Juninho
↑ 75'
F
34
Heron
↑ 79'
D
3
Yago Lincoln
D
17
Andre Cardoso
↑ 46'
29
Kaue Leonardo
D
28
Caio Maia
20
Fabiano
↑ 65'
M
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
09.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
Last matches: Londrina
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H: Fortaleza EC vs Londrina
23.05.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
25.08.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
2
1
W
01.05.18
H2H
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H at home: Fortaleza EC
23.05.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
25.08.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
2
1
W
Last matches: Londrina
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H away: Londrina
23.05.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
L
25.08.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
2
1
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation