BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: C. Deretti
Fortaleza EC
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Vilar
Botafogo SP
57'
Ronald
Fortaleza EC
VAR
59'
Ronald
Fortaleza EC
🔄
66'
Arthur Caike ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🔄
66'
Ze Hugo ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🟨
69'
Matheus Sales
Botafogo SP
🔄
72'
J. B. Miritello ↔ Nathan Fogaca
Fortaleza EC
🔄
80'
Rafael Gava ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🔄
80'
Wesley Santos ↔ Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Luiz Fernando
Fortaleza EC
🔄
82'
Vitinho ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
VAR
87'
Lucas Sasha
Fortaleza EC
🔄
89'
Matheus Sales ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🟨
90+8'
Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🔄
90+2'
Lucas Sasha ↔ Rodrigo
Fortaleza EC
🔄
90+2'
Rodriguinho ↔ T. Cardona
Fortaleza EC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds 2.03
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
2.03
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza EC Win 68.5%
Draw 4.2%
Botafogo SP Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC1.12
Botafogo SP1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
8
4.26
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 19 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 19 matches
Fortaleza EC Statistic Botafogo SP
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
22 Goals For 24
19 Goals Against 20
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 7
4.26 Shots On Goal 3.47
13.84 Total Shots 11.47
5.37 Corners 5.79
46.2% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 31 points compared to Botafogo SP in 15 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Botafogo SP. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 31 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 21:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 21 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 20:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 1 times, Botafogo SP won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza EC 4-1-4-1 / Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza EC wins 1, draws 0, Botafogo SP wins 1
Stats
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
10 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
393 Total passes 344
351 Passes accurate 280
2.16 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
Formation
Botafogo SP
Joao Ricardo
Joao Ricardo
Mailton
Mailton
Neris
Neris
Lucas Gazal
Lucas Gazal
Mauricio Junior
Mauricio Junior
Lucas Sasha
Lucas Sasha
Ronald
Ronald
Vitinho
Vitinho
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
J. B. Miritello
J. B. Miritello
Victor Souza
Victor Souza
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Ericson
Ericson
Vilar
Vilar
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Rafael Gava
Rafael Gava
Wesley Santos
Wesley Santos
Arthur Caike
Arthur Caike
Fortaleza EC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Joao Ricardo
G
22
Mailton
D
23
Neris
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
13
Mauricio Junior
88
Lucas Sasha
↓ 90+2'
M
8
Ronald
⚽ 57'
M
11
Vitinho
↓ 82'
M
75
Rodriguinho
↓ 90+2'
M
16
Pedro Henrique
↓ 82'
M
9
J. B. Miritello
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
10
Lucas Crispim
M
17
Nathan Fogaca
↑ 72'
F
4
Luan Freitas
D
29
Rodrigo
↑ 90+2'
M
37
Ryan
M
6
T. Cardona
↑ 90+2'
D
32
Luiz Fernando
↑ 82'
F
31
Welliton
↑ 82'
F
77
Paulo Baya
F
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
33
Kaua Rocha
D
Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Souza
G
31
Pedro Henrique
D
3
Ericson
D
4
Vilar
🟨 37'
D
100
Patrick Brey
D
16
Matheus Sales
↓ 89' 🟨 69'
M
8
Everton Morelli
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 66'
M
10
Rafael Gava
↓ 80'
M
23
Wesley Santos
↓ 80'
M
18
Arthur Caike
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
12
Jordan
G
25
Adriano
G
17
Guilherme Queiroz
↑ 66'
F
5
Leandro Maciel
M
11
Jefferson Nem
↑ 66'
F
28
Marco Antonio
↑ 80'
M
22
Gabriel Inocencio
13
Wallace
D
26
Felipe Vieira
↑ 80' 🟨 90+8'
D
29
Thiago Moraes
↑ 89'
M
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
Last matches: Botafogo SP
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H: Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP
29.07.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.03.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
L
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H at home: Fortaleza EC
29.07.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
Last matches: Botafogo SP
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Botafogo SP
29.07.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.35
Draw 3.14
Home 2.03
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.76
Draw 2.12
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.85
Over 2.25 2.17
Over 2.5 2.49
Over 2.75 2.84
Over 3.5 4.78
Under 0.5 7.29
Under 1.5 2.74
Under 1.75 2.39
Under 2.0 2.03
Under 2.25 1.73
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.45
Under 3.5 1.20
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.20
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.05
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.30
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.99
Draw 3.05
Home 2.02
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.05
Draw 1.89
Home 2.68
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.44
Draw 2.22
Home 2.36
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.26
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.55
Over 2.0 1.76
Over 2.25 2.10
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 2.75 2.76
Over 3.0 3.60
Over 3.25 3.92
Over 3.5 4.25
Over 3.75 5.39
Over 4.0 7.70
Over 4.25 7.70
Over 4.5 8.30
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.15
Under 0.75 5.64
Under 1.0 5.05
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.49
Under 1.75 2.22
Under 2.0 1.90
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.22
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.15
Under 3.75 1.09
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.25
Home 1.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.08
Home 2.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.38
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.52
Over 2.0 1.70
Over 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 2.75 2.65
Over 3.0 3.45
Over 3.25 3.85
Over 3.5 4.30
Over 4.5 8.50
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 1.75 2.45
Under 2.0 2.10
Under 2.25 1.78
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.43
Under 3.0 1.27
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 4.5 1.04

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
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