Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
19 matches
Sao Paulo
15 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 27 | Goals For | 21 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.95 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 15.32 | Total Shots | 11.73 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 6.8 |
| 61.4% | Ball Possession | 52.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sao Paulo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sao Paulo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Fluminense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 27 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 25:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on John Kennedy (7 goals), Agustín Canobbio (3 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (3 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Sao Paulo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 24 points from 15 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 21:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Luciano (5 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), D. Bobadilla (2 assists), Marcos Antonio (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 7 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:18 from Fluminense's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Fluminense
3
7
5
4
2
3
Lineups
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Santos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 33:14 | 19 | 44 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:16 | 19 | 37 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Fluminense
Home
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 27 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | -3 | 27 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 18 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17:39 | -22 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
L
|