Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
31 matches
Palmeiras
29 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 17 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 46 | Goals For | 49 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.45 | Shots On Goal | 4.93 |
| 15.1 | Total Shots | 15.17 |
| 5.28 | Corners | 5.93 |
| 60.7% | Ball Possession | 54.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Palmeiras carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 47 points while Fluminense sit 4 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fluminense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Palmeiras in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palmeiras having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Palmeiras look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Palmeiras.
Fluminense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 34 points from 21 matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 30:25 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Kennedy (8 goals), Luciano Acosta (3 goals), Rodrigo Castillo (3 goals), with creative support from Luciano Acosta (3 assists), Agustín Canobbio (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 47 points from 21 games, Palmeiras bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 38:16, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through José Manuel López (6 goals), Allan (4 goals), Ramón Sosa (4 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (9 assists), José Manuel López (3 assists), Joaquín Piquerez (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 6 times, Palmeiras won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Fluminense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Fluminense
Home
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|