Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
37 matches
Corinthians
35 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 12 |
| 4 | Losses | 11 |
| 75 | Goals For | 37 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.79 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 15.94 | Total Shots | 12.15 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 4.74 |
| 56.8% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Flamengo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Corinthians. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 51 points compared to Corinthians in 11 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Flamengo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 51 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 50:21 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Pedro (14 goals), Samuel Lino (8 goals), J. Carrascal (5 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), J. Carrascal (6 assists), Pedro (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Corinthians sit 11 with 32 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:25 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rodrigo Garro (3 goals), Yuri Alberto (3 goals), André Luiz (3 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), André Luiz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 7 times, Corinthians won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Flamengo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Home
|
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Corinthians
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 27:50 | -23 | 17 |
W
L
W
D
L
|