Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Fiorentina
Genoa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fiorentina
50 matches
Genoa
38 matches
| Fiorentina | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 12 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 16 |
| 64 | Goals For | 46 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.92 |
| 13.44 | Total Shots | 11.66 |
| 4.68 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 51.1% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genoa. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fiorentina expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Genoa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genoa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Fiorentina sit 16 with 37 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 14 defeats with a 38:49 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Moise Kean (8 goals), R. Mandragora (6 goals), A. Gudmundsson (5 goals), with creative support from A. Gudmundsson (4 assists), R. Mandragora (3 assists), Nicolò Fagioli (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Genoa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 40 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 40:48 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lorenzo Colombo (7 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 6 times, Genoa won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Fiorentina's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Fiorentina
1
3
7
5
5
1
Lineups
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Juventus
Fiorentina
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Lecce
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Lazio
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Parma
Fiorentina
Udinese
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Pisa
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Como
Fiorentina
Torino
Genoa
Lecce
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Pisa
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Lazio
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Parma
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Pisa
Fiorentina
Torino
Fiorentina
Como
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Udinese
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Dynamo Kyiv
Fiorentina
AEK Athens FC
Fiorentina
Juventus
Fiorentina
Lecce
Genoa
Lecce
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Bologna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Fiorentina
Home
|
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 16 |
Genoa
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|