ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
12.07.2026 20:05
Kaplakriki
Referee: J. I. Jonsson
FH hafnarfjordur
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
A. Gudmundsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
48'
J. Gudjonsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
59'
S. Hjaltested ↔ I. Olafsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
59'
R. Saevarsson ↔ A. Gudjohnsen
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
70'
A. Birgisson ↔ G. Gislason
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
71'
U. Bjornsson ↔ K. Finnbogason
FH hafnarfjordur
79'
G. Gislason
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
81'
L. Heimisson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
88'
T. Robertsson
FH hafnarfjordur
89'
G. Gislason · Assist: K. Finnbogason
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
90+4'
J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik

FH hafnarfjordur vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FH hafnarfjordur Win 24.7%
Draw 11.5%
Valur Reykjavik Win 63.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FH hafnarfjordur1.59
Valur Reykjavik1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur
WWDLW
19 GF / 32 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.71
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
11
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 14 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 14 matches
FH hafnarfjordur Statistic Valur Reykjavik
1 Wins 6
6 Draws 1
7 Losses 7
19 Goals For 24
32 Goals Against 27
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
11 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valur Reykjavik. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Valur Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while FH hafnarfjordur sit 12 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

FH hafnarfjordur Analysis

FH hafnarfjordur approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 2 points from 9 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 12:26, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik sit 5 with 15 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FH hafnarfjordur won 3 times, Valur Reykjavik won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:31 from FH hafnarfjordur's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
H2H summary: FH hafnarfjordur wins 3, draws 6, Valur Reykjavik wins 6

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D D W W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D D W W L
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W L D W D
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L L L D L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
L W D D W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L L W W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
W D W W L
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W W D L D
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W L W D L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L W W L L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W D L D
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
L D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs