BRAZIL SERIE C
17.05.2026 19:00
Arena Fonte Luminosa
Referee: P. Mourao
Ferroviária
Match Timeline
Brusque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Gazao
Brusque
🟨
50'
Raimar
Brusque
🟨
54'
Adrianinho
Brusque
🔄
56'
Rafael Carillho ↔ Alencar
Ferroviária
🔄
56'
Douglas Skilo ↔ Denilson Chaves
Ferroviária
🔄
61'
Raimar ↔ Jonatan Lucca
Brusque
🔄
61'
Joao Pedro ↔ Alex Paulino
Brusque
🔄
61'
Gazao ↔ Davi Gabriel
Brusque
65'
Allison
Ferroviária
🟨
67'
Alex Paulino
Brusque
🔄
68'
Macario ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🟨
71'
Jeferson
Brusque
🟨
71'
Eduardo Oliveira
Ferroviária
🟨
71'
Raoni
Ferroviária
🟥
75'
Adrianinho
Brusque
🔄
75'
Raoni ↔ Fernandinho
Ferroviária
🔄
77'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
83'
Allison ↔ M. Cantarelli
Ferroviária

Ferroviária vs Brusque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferroviária Win 23.5%
Draw 15.1%
Brusque Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferroviária0.9
Brusque1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WWDLW
5 GF / 7 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
12 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
2
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferroviária Ferroviária 6 matches
Brusque Brusque 6 matches
Ferroviária Statistic Brusque
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
5 Goals For 12
7 Goals Against 6
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Brusque's more proactive style and Ferroviária's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Brusque. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Brusque carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 14 points while Ferroviária sit 15 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Ferroviária Analysis

Ferroviária approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 6 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats with a 5:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Allison (2 goals), Denilson (1 goals), Vinni Faria (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Brusque Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 14 points from 6 games, Brusque bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 12:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Adrianinho (6 goals), Joao Pedro (2 goals), Alvaro (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviária won 1 times, Brusque won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ferroviária's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: Ferroviária wins 1, draws 0, Brusque wins 0

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation