ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Nationala
Referee: I. Kovacs
FCSB
Match Timeline
FC Botosani
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Enriko Papa
FC Botosani
14'
S. Mailat · Assist: Z. Mitrov
FC Botosani
20'
Joao Paulo
FCSB
🟨
28'
Darius Olaru
FCSB
🟨
28'
Andrei Dumiter
FC Botosani
🟨
45+2'
George Miron
FC Botosani
🔄
46'
D. Miculescu ↔ O. Popescu
FCSB
🔄
46'
A. Stoian ↔ M. Toma
FCSB
🔄
46'
E. Diaw ↔ A. Tiganasu
FC Botosani
🔄
46'
Z. Mitrov ↔ S. Bodisteanu
FC Botosani
53'
J. Dawa
FCSB
🟨
59'
Charles Petro
FC Botosani
🟨
60'
Octavian Popescu
FCSB
69'
F. Tanase
FCSB
🟨
73'
Mihai Toma
FCSB
🔄
74'
E. Papa ↔ S. Panoiu
FC Botosani
77'
S. Mailat
FC Botosani
🔄
80'
D. Olaru ↔ M. Lixandru
FCSB
🔄
81'
Joao Paulo ↔ B. Alhassan
FCSB
🔄
86'
S. Mailat ↔ E. Lopez
FC Botosani
🔄
89'
A. Friday ↔ M. Kovtalyuk
FC Botosani
🔄
90+2'
J. Cisotti ↔ M. Thiam
FCSB
90'
M. Kovtalyuk · Assist: S. Bodisteanu
FC Botosani
🟨
103'
Baba Alhassan
FCSB
🔄
105'
↔ G. David
FC Botosani
107'
O. Popescu · Assist: R. Radunovic
FCSB
🔄
112'
F. Tanase ↔ O. Arad
FCSB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FCSB Win 100%
Draw 0%
FC Botosani Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FCSB1.41
FC Botosani1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
FCSB FCSB
WWDLW
86 GF / 76 GA
FC Botosani FC Botosani
WLDWL
50 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
32
BTTS Yes
20
31
Over 2.5
17
5.17
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FCSB FCSB 55 matches
FC Botosani FC Botosani 39 matches
FCSB Statistic FC Botosani
23 Wins 14
11 Draws 12
21 Losses 13
86 Goals For 50
76 Goals Against 46
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
32 BTTS Yes 20
40 Over 1.5 29
31 Over 2.5 17
22 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 12
5.17 Shots On Goal 4.38
14.74 Total Shots 13.56
5.8 Corners 4.79
52.2% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Botosani have the edge after taking the first leg 3-2, leaving FCSB needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, FC Botosani controlled more possession in the first leg (58% against 42%). FC Botosani carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 7 shots on goal compared to 3. FC Botosani circulated the ball more often, making 512 passes to 356 and completing 426. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Botosani. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

FCSB Analysis

FCSB come into this tie placed 7 in their league with 46 points from 30 matches. With 13 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses plus a goal ratio of 48:40, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on F. Tanase (15 goals), D. Olaru (10 goals), D. Birligea (7 goals), with creative support from F. Tanase (8 assists), D. Olaru (7 assists), R. Radunovic (4 assists), while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

FC Botosani Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, FC Botosani arrive from a league campaign that has them 9 with 42 points after 30 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 37:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on S. Mailat (13 goals), H. Ongenda (7 goals), M. Kovtalyuk (6 goals), with creative support from H. Ongenda (7 assists), S. Mailat (5 assists), Z. Mitrov (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FCSB won 11 times, FC Botosani won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:19 from FCSB's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: FCSB 4-2-3-1 / FC Botosani 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FCSB wins 11, draws 1, FC Botosani wins 3
Stats
FCSB FCSB
FC Botosani FC Botosani
Shots on Goal
14
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
6
11 Corner Kicks 5
20 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 1
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 14
14 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 6
17 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 10
482 Total passes 527
382 Passes accurate 432
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FCSB
Formation
FC Botosani
S. Tarnovanu
S. Tarnovanu
V. Cretu
V. Cretu
J. Dawa
J. Dawa
M. Popescu
M. Popescu
R. Radunovic
🎯
R. Radunovic
F. Tanase
F. Tanase
Joao Paulo
Joao Paulo
D. Olaru
D. Olaru
D. Miculescu
D. Miculescu
A. Stoian
A. Stoian
J. Cisotti
J. Cisotti
G. Anestis
G. Anestis
A. Friday
A. Friday
A. Miron
A. Miron
E. Diaw
E. Diaw
R. Cret
R. Cret
E. Papa
E. Papa
C. Petro
C. Petro
Z. Mitrov
🎯
Z. Mitrov
H. Ongenda
H. Ongenda
S. Mailat
⚽ 2
S. Mailat
A. Dumiter
A. Dumiter
FCSB 4-3-3
Starting XI
32
S. Tarnovanu
G
2
V. Cretu
D
5
J. Dawa
⚽ 53'
D
17
M. Popescu
D
33
R. Radunovic
🎯 107'
D
10
F. Tanase
⚽ 69' ↓ 112'
M
18
Joao Paulo
⚽ 20' ↓ 81'
M
27
D. Olaru
↓ 80' 🟨 28'
M
11
D. Miculescu
↓ 46'
F
90
A. Stoian
↓ 46'
F
31
J. Cisotti
↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
38
L. Zima
G
3
A. Duarte
D
28
A. Pantea
D
37
O. Popescu
⚽ 107' ↑ 46' 🟨 60'
F
42
B. Alhassan
↑ 81' 🟨 103'
M
16
M. Lixandru
↑ 80'
M
98
D. Popa
F
93
M. Thiam
↑ 90+2'
F
15
O. Arad
↑ 112'
D
30
S. Ngezana
D
22
M. Toma
↑ 46' 🟨 73'
M
23
I. Cercel
D
FC Botosani 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
G. Anestis
G
12
A. Friday
↓ 89'
D
4
A. Miron
🟨 45+2'
D
23
E. Diaw
↓ 46'
D
5
R. Cret
D
67
E. Papa
↓ 74' 🟨 6'
M
28
C. Petro
🟨 59'
M
11
Z. Mitrov
🎯 14' ↓ 46'
M
26
H. Ongenda
M
7
S. Mailat
⚽ 14' ⚽ 77' ↓ 86'
M
41
A. Dumiter
🟨 28'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Kukic
G
30
A. Tiganasu
↑ 46'
D
10
S. Bodisteanu
🎯 90' ↑ 46'
M
9
E. Lopez
↑ 86'
F
20
A. Bota
M
15
D. Stefan
F
25
M. Kovtalyuk
⚽ 90' ↑ 89'
F
17
S. Panoiu
↑ 74'
M
6
R. Suta
D
33
G. David
↑ 105'
M
73
N. Ilas
D
Last matches: FCSB
23.07.26
UEF
FCSB
Auda
2
3
L
17.07.26
Lig
FCSB
Arges Pitesti
2
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
FCSB
Union St. Gilloise
0
4
L
29.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
2
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
11.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
01.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Csikszereda
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
11.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Oţelul
4
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
3
L
20.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Cluj
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
4
2
W
23.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
4
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Oţelul
4
1
W
05.02.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Csikszereda
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Botosani
17.07.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FC Voluntari
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Ludogorets
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
27.06.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1
3
L
25.06.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Dunfermline
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Csikszereda
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Oţelul
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
3
2
W
11.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
2
W
22.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
0
3
L
16.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Unirea Slobozia
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
1
3
L
20.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Universitatea Cluj
1
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
3
0
W
05.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
1
2
L
H2H: FCSB vs FC Botosani
24.05.26
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
4
3
W
03.04.26
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
2
L
05.02.26
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
19.09.25
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
1
L
08.12.24
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
21.11.24
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
1
0
L
25.02.24
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
3
2
W
07.10.23
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
0
1
W
19.12.22
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
1
0
W
08.12.22
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
0
2
W
01.12.22
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
2
3
W
21.11.21
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
3
1
W
15.07.21
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
0
0
D
06.05.21
H2H
FC Botosani
FCSB
1
3
W
18.04.21
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
Last matches: FCSB
23.07.26
UEF
FCSB
Auda
2
3
L
17.07.26
Lig
FCSB
Arges Pitesti
2
0
W
11.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
24.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Oţelul
4
0
W
20.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Cluj
1
3
L
23.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
4
1
W
05.02.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Csikszereda
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
FCSB
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
FCSB
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
4
L
21.12.25
Lig
FCSB
Rapid
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
FCSB
Feyenoord
4
3
W
06.12.25
Lig
FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
FCSB
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
26.10.25
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
FCSB
Bologna
1
2
L
05.10.25
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
H2H at home: FCSB
24.05.26
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
4
3
W
05.02.26
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
08.12.24
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
25.02.24
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
3
2
W
19.12.22
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
1
0
W
21.11.21
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
3
1
W
18.04.21
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Botosani
17.07.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FC Voluntari
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Ludogorets
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
16.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Csikszereda
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
1
3
L
22.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
0
3
L
27.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
1
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
1
2
L
05.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Universitatea Craiova
0
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Csikszereda
0
1
L
12.01.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
5
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Unirea Slobozia
1
0
W
07.11.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
0
2
L
03.11.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
18.10.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Universitatea Cluj
2
0
W
29.09.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
2
0
W
14.09.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Oţelul
1
0
W
H2H away: FC Botosani
24.05.26
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
4
3
L
05.02.26
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
L
08.12.24
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
3
2
L
19.12.22
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
1
0
L
21.11.21
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
3
1
L
18.04.21
H2H
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
L

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2
FCSB Home
9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation