FC Sochi vs Akhmat Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
FC Sochi
Akhmat
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Sochi
29 matches
Akhmat
29 matches
| FC Sochi | Statistic | Akhmat |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 9 |
| 3 | Draws | 9 |
| 20 | Losses | 11 |
| 28 | Goals For | 34 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 2.9 | Shots On Goal | 3.48 |
| 8.9 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sochi expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Akhmat. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
FC Sochi sit 16 with 21 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 28:59 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikhail Ignatov (4 goals), Anton Zinkovskiy (3 goals), Ignacio Saavedra (3 goals), with creative support from Ruslan Magal (3 assists), Anton Zinkovskiy (2 assists), V. Iljin (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Akhmat have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 36 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 34:38 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Cacintura (8 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (5 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (5 assists), E. Cacintura (4 assists), Lechi Sadulaev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC Sochi won 7 times, Akhmat won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from FC Sochi's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Akhmat
Away
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
FC Sochi
Home
|
30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|