RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Fisht Olympic Stadium
Referee: S. Matveev
FC Sochi
Match Timeline
Akhmat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
L. Sadulaev ↔ D. Khlusevich
Akhmat
🔄
26'
Z. Fedorov ↔ M. Kramaric
FC Sochi
🟨
32'
Dmitriy Vasiljev
FC Sochi
🔄
46'
M. Konate ↔ G. Melkadze
Akhmat
🔄
61'
G. Kenzhebek ↔ P. Gadio
Akhmat
🔄
71'
D. Vasiljev ↔ R. Magal
FC Sochi
🔄
71'
A. Zinkovskiy ↔ R. Ezhov
FC Sochi
85'
K. Cake
Akhmat
86'
M. Kramaric
FC Sochi
🔄
88'
A. Kovalenko ↔ M. Ignatov
FC Sochi
🔄
89'
K. Zaika ↔ P. Meleshin
FC Sochi
🔄
90+2'
M. Bogosavac ↔ R. Utsiev
Akhmat
🔄
90+2'
M. Samorodov ↔ M. Sidorov
Akhmat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Sochi Win 46.6%
Draw 0%
Akhmat Win 53.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Sochi1.11
Akhmat1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Sochi FC Sochi
WWDLW
28 GF / 59 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
WLDWL
34 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.17
2.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
16
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
12
2.9
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Sochi FC Sochi 29 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 29 matches
FC Sochi Statistic Akhmat
6 Wins 9
3 Draws 9
20 Losses 11
28 Goals For 34
59 Goals Against 38
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
16 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 7
2.9 Shots On Goal 3.48
8.9 Total Shots 12
3.59 Corners 4.41
46.3% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sochi expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Akhmat. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Sochi Analysis

FC Sochi sit 16 with 21 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 28:59 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikhail Ignatov (4 goals), Anton Zinkovskiy (3 goals), Ignacio Saavedra (3 goals), with creative support from Ruslan Magal (3 assists), Anton Zinkovskiy (2 assists), V. Iljin (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Akhmat Analysis

So far, Akhmat have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 36 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 34:38 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Cacintura (8 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (5 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (5 assists), E. Cacintura (4 assists), Lechi Sadulaev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC Sochi won 7 times, Akhmat won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from FC Sochi's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Sochi 3-4-3 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Sochi 3, Akhmat 1
H2H summary: FC Sochi wins 7, draws 3, Akhmat wins 3

Lineups

FC Sochi
Formation
Akhmat
A. Degtev
A. Degtev
A. Soldatenkov
A. Soldatenkov
Marcelo Alves
Marcelo Alves
V. Litvinov
V. Litvinov
K. Zaika
K. Zaika
K. Kravtsov
K. Kravtsov
D. Vasiljev
D. Vasiljev
A. Makarchuk
A. Makarchuk
A. Kovalenko
A. Kovalenko
Z. Fedorov
Z. Fedorov
A. Zinkovskiy
A. Zinkovskiy
G. Shelia
G. Shelia
G. Kenzhebek
G. Kenzhebek
O. Ndong
O. Ndong
K. Cake
K. Cake
M. Bogosavac
M. Bogosavac
T. Ibishev
T. Ibishev
I. Silva
I. Silva
M. Samorodov
M. Samorodov
E. Cacintura
E. Cacintura
L. Sadulaev
L. Sadulaev
M. Konate
M. Konate
FC Sochi 3-4-3
Starting XI
35
A. Degtev
G
3
A. Soldatenkov
D
33
Marcelo Alves
D
4
V. Litvinov
D
27
K. Zaika
↓ 89'
M
14
K. Kravtsov
M
20
D. Vasiljev
↓ 71' 🟨 32'
M
17
A. Makarchuk
M
19
A. Kovalenko
↓ 88'
F
9
Z. Fedorov
↓ 26'
F
7
A. Zinkovskiy
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
99
Y. Dyupin
G
85
D. Silev
G
10
M. Kramaric
⚽ 86' ↑ 26'
M
28
R. Magal
↑ 71'
D
8
M. Ignatov
↑ 88'
M
59
R. Bart
F
66
A. Metsiev
M
29
R. Ezhov
↑ 71'
M
25
Y. Attiyat Allah
D
11
P. Meleshin
↑ 89'
F
18
A. Korneev
M
Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
88
G. Shelia
G
23
G. Kenzhebek
↓ 61'
D
90
O. Ndong
D
5
K. Cake
⚽ 85'
D
8
M. Bogosavac
↓ 90+2'
D
4
T. Ibishev
M
11
I. Silva
M
20
M. Samorodov
↓ 90+2'
M
17
E. Cacintura
M
7
L. Sadulaev
↓ 13'
M
13
M. Konate
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
72
Y. Magomedov
G
82
D. Khlusevich
↑ 13'
D
42
M. Keliano
M
37
P. Gadio
↑ 61'
M
22
M. Zare
D
40
R. Utsiev
↑ 90+2'
D
77
G. Melkadze
↑ 46'
F
81
M. Sidorov
↑ 90+2'
D
80
V. Tsarukyan
M
27
A. Davlitgereev
M
2
D. Abdulkadyrov
D
Last matches: FC Sochi
10.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Zenit
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Dynamo
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Sloga Doboj
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Tyumen
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
2
4
L
Last matches: Akhmat
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Olmaliq
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Bars
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
FK Vozdovac
3
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
FC UFA
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
13.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
H2H: FC Sochi vs Akhmat
17.05.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
27.10.25
H2H
Akhmat
FC Sochi
2
4
W
25.04.24
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
PFC Sochi
1
0
L
02.02.24
H2H
FC Sochi
Akhmat
0
0
D
06.08.23
H2H
PFC Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
1
2
W
23.04.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
PFC Sochi
1
0
L
30.07.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
2
1
L
23.04.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
3
2
L
02.08.21
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
PFC Sochi
1
2
W
07.12.20
H2H
PFC Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
L
12.09.20
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
PFC Sochi
0
1
W
26.06.20
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
PFC Sochi
1
1
D
30.09.19
H2H
PFC Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
L
Last matches: FC Sochi
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Sloga Doboj
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Tyumen
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
2
4
L
01.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Zenit
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
22.09.25
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
24.08.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
2
L
H2H at home: FC Sochi
17.05.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
02.02.24
H2H
FC Sochi
Akhmat
0
0
D
Last matches: Akhmat
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Rubin
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
2
2
D
03.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
27.07.25
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
H2H away: Akhmat
17.05.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
02.02.24
H2H
FC Sochi
Akhmat
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

FC Sochi 3 missing
-
N. Stojic
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
R. Ezhov
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
M. Chirkov
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Akhmat 1 missing
-
V. Ulyanov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT