PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Do Dragão
Referee: J. Goncalves
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Santa Clara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
J. Tavares ↔ Andrey
Santa Clara
🔄
56'
D. Gul ↔ G. Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
56'
B. Sainz ↔ O. Pietuszewski
FC Porto
🔄
62'
Fernando ↔ Elias Manoel
Santa Clara
🔄
63'
Welinton Torrao ↔ Vinicius Lopes
Santa Clara
69'
S. Lima
FC Porto
🔄
72'
D. Costa ↔ J. Costa
FC Porto
🔄
81'
F. Moura ↔ N. Perez
FC Porto
🔄
82'
V. Froholdt ↔ B. Lima
FC Porto
🔄
86'
Paulo Victor ↔ Lucas Soares
Santa Clara
🔄
86'
Gustavo Klismahn ↔ Isaac
Santa Clara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 74.1%
Draw 3.2%
Santa Clara Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.56
Santa Clara0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
83 GF / 28 GA
Santa Clara Santa Clara
WLDWL
39 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1
0.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
20
BTTS Yes
16
24
Over 2.5
15
5.18
Shots on Goal
2.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 45 matches
Santa Clara Santa Clara 39 matches
FC Porto Statistic Santa Clara
34 Wins 11
7 Draws 11
4 Losses 17
83 Goals For 39
28 Goals Against 44
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
20 BTTS Yes 16
34 Over 1.5 23
24 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 5
23 Clean Sheets 14
3 Failed To Score 14
5.18 Shots On Goal 2.92
14.38 Total Shots 9.92
5.44 Corners 4.18
54.3% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Porto's more proactive style and Santa Clara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santa Clara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Porto come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Porto arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 85 points compared to Santa Clara in 12 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Porto expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Santa Clara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santa Clara having the stronger overall control.

FC Porto Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 85 points from 33 games, FC Porto bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 27 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 65:18, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Samu (13 goals), William Gomes (8 goals), V. Froholdt (6 goals), with creative support from G. Veiga (8 assists), A. Costa (8 assists), V. Froholdt (6 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Santa Clara Analysis

Santa Clara are currently 12 in the standings with 36 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 32:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Silva (6 goals), Vinícius Lopes (6 goals), Serginho (4 goals), with creative support from Serginho (3 assists), Fernando (2 assists), Wendell (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Santa Clara won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:8 from FC Porto's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Santa Clara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 2, Santa Clara wins 1
Stats
FC Porto FC Porto
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 0
3 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 6
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
394 Total passes 348
323 Passes accurate 274
0.85 expected_goals 0.47
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Porto
Formation
Santa Clara
D. Costa
D. Costa
A. Costa
A. Costa
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
J. Kiwior
F. Moura
F. Moura
V. Froholdt
V. Froholdt
A. Varela
A. Varela
R. Mora
R. Mora
William Gomes
William Gomes
D. Gul
D. Gul
B. Sainz
B. Sainz
J. Afonso
J. Afonso
Diogo Calila
Diogo Calila
S. Lima
S. Lima
P. Pacheco
P. Pacheco
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor
J. Tavares
J. Tavares
Serginho
Serginho
Welinton Torrao
Welinton Torrao
Gustavo Klismahn
Gustavo Klismahn
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva
Fernando
Fernando
FC Porto 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
D. Costa
↓ 72'
G
20
A. Costa
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
4
J. Kiwior
D
74
F. Moura
↓ 81'
D
8
V. Froholdt
↓ 82'
M
22
A. Varela
M
86
R. Mora
M
7
William Gomes
F
27
D. Gul
↓ 56'
F
17
B. Sainz
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
24
J. Costa
↑ 72'
G
18
N. Perez
↑ 81'
D
66
B. Lima
↑ 82'
M
42
S. Fofana
M
13
P. Rosario
M
11
Pepê
F
29
T. Moffi
F
10
G. Veiga
↑ 56'
M
77
O. Pietuszewski
↑ 56'
F
Santa Clara 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
50
J. Afonso
G
2
Diogo Calila
D
23
S. Lima
⚽ 69'
D
4
P. Pacheco
D
64
Paulo Victor
↓ 86'
D
65
J. Tavares
↓ 9'
M
35
Serginho
M
49
Welinton Torrao
↓ 63'
M
77
Gustavo Klismahn
↓ 86'
M
10
Gabriel Silva
M
26
Fernando
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
Gabriel Batista
G
21
F. Venancio
D
42
Lucas Soares
↑ 86'
D
52
Isaac
↑ 86'
M
37
Darlan
M
7
Elias Manoel
↑ 62'
F
70
Vinicius Lopes
↑ 63'
F
78
Andrey
↑ 9'
M
94
H. Silva
D
Last matches: FC Porto
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Casa Pia
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
Last matches: Santa Clara
11.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
2
4
L
21.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
AVS
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Tondela
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Alverca
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Benfica
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Estrela
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Estoril
2
4
L
24.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Moreirense
0
1
L
18.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Famalicao
0
1
L
11.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
3
3
D
04.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
L
21.12.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
0
0
D
15.12.25
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
0
1
L
H2H: FC Porto vs Santa Clara
16.05.26
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
04.01.26
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
W
26.01.25
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
1
D
16.08.24
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
2
W
29.02.24
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
1
2
W
15.04.23
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
2
1
W
29.10.22
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
1
1
D
04.04.22
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
3
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
3
W
26.10.21
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
3
1
L
03.04.21
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
2
1
W
28.11.20
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
W
02.03.20
H2H
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
2
W
19.12.19
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
25.09.19
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Porto
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
29.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
2
0
W
15.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
3
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
FC Porto
Malmo FF
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
FC Porto
Nice
3
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
FC Porto
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
H2H at home: FC Porto
16.05.26
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
26.01.25
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
2
1
W
04.04.22
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
3
0
W
03.04.21
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
2
1
W
19.12.19
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
25.09.19
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
Last matches: Santa Clara
02.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
2
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
AVS
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Tondela
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Alverca
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Estrela
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Moreirense
0
1
L
11.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
0
1
L
30.11.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.11.25
Pri
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
1
2
L
12.09.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Benfica
1
1
D
06.09.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Estoril
1
0
W
28.08.25
UEF
Santa Clara
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
10.08.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Famalicao
0
3
L
07.08.25
UEF
Santa Clara
Larne
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Santa Clara
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
H2H away: Santa Clara
16.05.26
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
L
26.01.25
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
2
1
L
04.04.22
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
3
0
L
03.04.21
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
2
1
L
19.12.19
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
L
25.09.19
H2H
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D