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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FC Porto
FT
1 - 0
Nacional
Estádio Do Dragão
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
29'
Borja Sainz
FC Porto
🟨
30'
João Aurélio
Nacional
⚽
31'
Samu
FC Porto
🔄
56'
R. Mora ↔ G. Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
56'
F. Moura ↔ Zaidu
FC Porto
🔄
56'
A. Varela ↔ N. Perez
FC Porto
🔄
60'
↔ S. Eustaquio
FC Porto
🔄
63'
Pablo Ruan ↔ Witi
Nacional
🟨
70'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional
🔄
74'
Liziero ↔ F. Soares
Nacional
🔄
74'
C. Labidi ↔ J. Silva
Nacional
🟨
76'
Gabri Veiga
FC Porto
🟨
79'
Samu Aghehowa
FC Porto
🔄
84'
Paulinho Boia ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
86'
Samu ↔ D. Gul
FC Porto
🟨
90+9'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🟨
90+1'
Ze Vitor
Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto2.35
Nacional0.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
11 GF / 1 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
1
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
1
6.75
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 4 matches
Nacional Nacional 4 matches
FC Porto Statistic Nacional
4 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
11 Goals For 4
1 Goals Against 7
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
6.75 Shots On Goal 3
16.5 Total Shots 9.75
5.5 Corners 6.5
53.8% Ball Possession 40.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 13 times, Nacional won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:8 from FC Porto's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Nacional 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 13, draws 1, Nacional wins 1
Stats
FC Porto FC Porto
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 5
6 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 1
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 0
3 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
527 Total passes 237
439 Passes accurate 143
1.88 expected_goals 0.08
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Porto
Formation
Nacional
D. Costa
D. Costa
P. Rosario
P. Rosario
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
J. Kiwior
F. Moura
↓
F. Moura
V. Froholdt
V. Froholdt
A. Varela
↓
A. Varela
R. Mora
↓
R. Mora
Pepê
Pepê
Samu
⚽ ↓
Samu
B. Sainz
B. Sainz
Lucas Franca
Lucas Franca
J. Aurelio
J. Aurelio
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Jose Gomes
Jose Gomes
Liziero
↓
Liziero
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias
C. Labidi
↓
C. Labidi
Pablo Ruan
↓
Pablo Ruan
J. Ramirez
J. Ramirez
Paulinho Boia
↓
Paulinho Boia
FC Porto 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
D. Costa
G
13
P. Rosario
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
4
J. Kiwior
D
74
F. Moura
↓ 56'
D
8
V. Froholdt
M
22
A. Varela
↓ 56'
M
86
R. Mora
↓ 56'
M
11
Pepê
F
9
Samu
⚽ 31' ↓ 86' 🟨 79'
F
17
B. Sainz
F
Substitutes
14
Claudio Ramos
G
6
S. Eustaquio
↑ 60'
M
10
G. Veiga
↑ 56' 🟨 76'
M
12
Zaidu
↑ 56'
D
18
N. Perez
↑ 56'
D
21
D. Prpic
D
27
D. Gul
↑ 86'
F
47
A. Alarcon
72
A. Miranda
F
Nacional 4-3-3
Starting XI
37
Lucas Franca
G
2
J. Aurelio
🟨 30'
D
34
Leo Santos
🟨 90+9'
D
38
Ze Vitor
🟨 90+1'
D
5
Jose Gomes
D
28
Liziero
↓ 74'
M
6
Matheus Dias
M
15
C. Labidi
↓ 74' 🟨 70'
M
99
Pablo Ruan
↓ 63'
F
9
J. Ramirez
F
11
Paulinho Boia
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
Kaique Pereira
G
4
Ulisses
D
7
Witi
↑ 63'
F
18
A. Sousa
M
19
L. Joao
↑ 84'
F
22
F. Soares
↑ 74'
M
24
L. Vallier
D
26
J. Silva
↑ 74'
M
30
Watts
M
Last matches: FC Porto
15.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
Aston Villa
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
H2H: FC Porto vs Nacional
15.02.26
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
3
0
W
12.01.25
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
2
0
L
13.07.24
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
4
1
W
18.04.21
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
W
12.01.21
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
2
4
W
20.12.20
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
2
0
W
12.05.19
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
0
4
W
07.01.19
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
3
1
W
04.03.17
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
7
0
W
01.10.16
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
0
4
W
17.04.16
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
4
0
W
13.12.15
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
1
2
W
21.03.15
H2H
Nacional
FC Porto
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Porto
09.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
Aston Villa
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
29.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
2
0
W
15.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
3
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
FC Porto
Malmo FF
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
FC Porto
Nice
3
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
H2H at home: FC Porto
13.09.25
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
3
0
W
13.07.24
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
4
1
W
20.12.20
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
2
0
W
07.01.19
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
3
1
W
04.03.17
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
7
0
W
17.04.16
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
4
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
13.09.25
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
L
17.05.25
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
3
0
L
13.07.24
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
4
1
L
20.12.20
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
2
0
L
07.01.19
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
3
1
L
04.03.17
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
7
0
L
17.04.16
H2H
FC Porto
Nacional
4
0
L