ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
12.09.2026 11:30
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: R. Maalinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Vaprus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Saliste · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
19'
Wendell · Assist: J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn
28'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
J. Poder ↔ V. Vallik
Vaprus
🔄
46'
F. Liivak ↔ R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
52'
M. Limberg
Vaprus
🔄
63'
M. Roosnupp ↔ M. Bessala
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
63'
N. Kutateladze ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
65'
Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
66'
R. Orm ↔ K. Kauber
Vaprus
🔄
73'
V. Iboro ↔ G. Reis
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
73'
Wendell ↔ G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
K. Aloe ↔ U. Nomm
Vaprus
🟨
75'
K. Kauber
Vaprus
🟨
77'
T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
82'
S. Kapper ↔ K. Kutsar
Vaprus
🔄
82'
T. Pajo ↔ J. Allas
Vaprus
🟨
90+1'
E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.13
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.2%
1.13
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.28
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.03
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 84.2%
Draw 4.6%
Vaprus Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.33
Vaprus1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
92 GF / 33 GA
Vaprus Vaprus
WLDWL
56 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
22
BTTS Yes
21
26
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 35 matches
Vaprus Vaprus 32 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Vaprus
25 Wins 12
6 Draws 5
4 Losses 15
92 Goals For 56
33 Goals Against 60
2.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
22 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 27
26 Over 2.5 22
18 Over 3.5 15
12 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vaprus. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 59 points compared to Vaprus in 7 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 59 points from 24 games, FC Levadia Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 64:20 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Vaprus Analysis

Vaprus approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 28 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 33:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, Vaprus won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:15 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Levadia Tallinn - / Vaprus 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9, draws 5, Vaprus wins 1

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga