14.10.2026 19:00

AS Roma

3 - 4

Stadio Olimpico

Referee: François Letexier, France

AS Roma vs Real Madrid H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

AS Roma

Match Timeline

Real Madrid

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 55.9%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	55.9%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

AS Roma Win 55.9%

Draw 3.6%

Real Madrid Win 40.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma1.62

Real Madrid1.98

Recent Form (Last 5)

AS Roma

D D W D W

7 GF / 4 GA

Real Madrid

W L W W W

11 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

2.08

Average Goals Scored

2.36

1.42

Average Goals Conceded

0.93

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.71

Shots on Goal

7.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Roma 12 matches

Real Madrid 14 matches

AS Roma	Statistic	Real Madrid
5	Wins	11
5	Draws	1
2	Losses	2
25	Goals For	33
17	Goals Against	13
2.08	Avg Goals Scored	2.36
1.42	Avg Goals Conceded	0.93
7	BTTS Yes	9
11	Over 1.5	11
9	Over 2.5	11
7	Over 3.5	6
4	Clean Sheets	4
2	Failed To Score	1
5.71	Shots On Goal	7.22
17.14	Total Shots	17.67
4.86	Corners	6.78
54.3%	Ball Possession	49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 0 times, Real Madrid won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:11 from AS Roma's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)

Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-2-1 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

Missing players: AS Roma 3, Real Madrid 4

H2H summary: AS Roma wins 0, draws 0, Real Madrid wins 5

Standings

UEFA Champions League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20:5	15	12	W W W W
2	Real Madrid Away	4	4	0	0	13:7	6	12	W W W W
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8:3	5	10	W D W W
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19:6	13	9	W W L W
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14:6	8	9	W L W W
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12:6	6	9	L W W W
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12:7	5	9	W W L W
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14:10	4	9	L W W W
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11:7	4	9	W W W L
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9	W L W W
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8:6	2	9	L W W W
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7:5	2	9	W W L W
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12:5	7	8	W D D W
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7:4	3	7	L D W W
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8:6	2	6	W W L L
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10:9	1	6	W W L L
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6	W L L W
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8:9	-1	6	W W L L
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6:11	-5	5	W D L D
20	AS Roma Home	4	1	1	2	10:8	2	4	L W L D
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4	L L W D
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9:10	-1	4	W L D L
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4	L D W L
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4	L W L D
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4:9	-5	4	D L W L
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6:7	-1	3	W L L L
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6:11	-5	3	L W L L
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8:14	-6	3	L L W L
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5:11	-6	3	L L L W
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5:11	-6	3	L L W L
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3	L L W L
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4:11	-7	3	L L W L
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4:16	-12	3	L L L W
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5:9	-4	1	L D L L
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4:10	-6	1	D L L L
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1:17	-16	0	L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

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