14.10.2026 19:00
Stadio Olimpico

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AS Roma Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma1.76
Real Madrid2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Roma AS Roma
WWDLW
25 GF / 17 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WLDWL
32 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
2.46
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
11
6.33
Shots on Goal
7.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Roma AS Roma 11 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 13 matches
AS Roma Statistic Real Madrid
5 Wins 10
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
25 Goals For 32
17 Goals Against 13
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.46
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
6.33 Shots On Goal 7.63
18.5 Total Shots 18.5
5.33 Corners 6.5
57.7% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 0 times, Real Madrid won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:11 from AS Roma's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-2-1 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 0, draws 0, Real Madrid wins 5

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)