14.10.2026 19:00
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City2.04
Paris Saint Germain1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
22 GF / 8 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
17 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
1.89
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
6.17
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 9 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 matches
Manchester City Statistic Paris Saint Germain
8 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
22 Goals For 17
8 Goals Against 13
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
6.17 Shots On Goal 8
14.67 Total Shots 21.86
6 Corners 5.29
63.3% Ball Possession 66.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 4 times, Paris Saint Germain won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Manchester City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 4, draws 1, Paris Saint Germain wins 2

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)