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MEXICO › LIGA MX
10.10.2026 23:00
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Referee: Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico
FC Juarez
Match Timeline
Club Tijuana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
28'
Adonis Preciado
Club Tijuana
⚽
31'
Mourad El Ghezouani
Club Tijuana
🟨
45+2'
Oscar Estupiñan
FC Juarez
🔄
45'
Monchu ↔ Madson de Souza Silva
FC Juarez
🟨
56'
Leonardo Silva
FC Juarez
🔄
58'
Ricardo Oliveira ↔ Eder Lopez
FC Juarez
🔄
59'
Jesus Murillo ↔ Luca Dupuy
FC Juarez
🔄
63'
Yael Padilla ↔ Angel Zapata
Club Tijuana
🟨
65'
Denzell Garcia
FC Juarez
🟨
65'
Angel Zapata
Club Tijuana
🟨
67'
Gilberto Sepulveda
FC Juarez
🔄
70'
Ramiro Árciga ↔ Pablo Ortíz
Club Tijuana
🔄
70'
Mourad El Ghezouani ↔ Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze
Club Tijuana
🟨
71'
Pablo Ortíz
Club Tijuana
🟨
71'
Francisco Nevarez
FC Juarez
🟨
72'
Ivan Tona
Club Tijuana
🔄
75'
Francisco Nevarez ↔ Jan Carlo Carmona Nunez
FC Juarez
🔄
75'
Leonardo Silva ↔ Rodrigo Dourado
FC Juarez
🟨
80'
Jackson Porozo
Club Tijuana
⚽
84'
Rodrigo Dourado · Assist: Daniel Piña
FC Juarez
🟥
85'
Javier Aquino
FC Juarez
🔄
86'
Jesús Vega ↔ Francisco González
Club Tijuana

FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds 2.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.7%
2.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.91 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.8%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Juarez Win 20.6%
Draw 6.7%
Club Tijuana Win 72.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Juarez1.34
Club Tijuana1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Juarez FC Juarez
WWDLW
19 GF / 31 GA
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
WLDWL
18 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.64
2.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
2.2
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Juarez FC Juarez 15 matches
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 11 matches
FC Juarez Statistic Club Tijuana
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
9 Losses 3
19 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 16
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
9 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
2.2 Shots On Goal 4
9.2 Total Shots 12.22
3 Corners 3.89
43.6% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Club Tijuana's more proactive style and FC Juarez's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club Tijuana. Club Tijuana carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 14 points while FC Juarez sit 18 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Juarez expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Club Tijuana in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Tijuana having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Juarez Analysis

FC Juarez sit 18 with 3 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 7:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ó. Estupiñán (4 goals), J. Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from J. Rodríguez (1 assists), J. Torres (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Tijuana Analysis

Club Tijuana approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 14 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 14:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Mora (3 goals), Mourad (3 goals), I. Rivero (2 goals), with creative support from J. Vega (2 assists), G. Mora (1 assists), Adonis Preciado (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Juarez won 4 times, Club Tijuana won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from FC Juarez's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Juarez 5-3-2 / Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: FC Juarez wins 4, draws 4, Club Tijuana wins 6

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)