GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Audi Sportpark
Referee: C. Ballweg
FC Ingolstadt 04
Match Timeline
Waldhof Mannheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Y. Sturm · Assist: F. Carlsen
FC Ingolstadt 04
30'
M. Costly · Assist: E. Gul
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
46'
N. Hoffmann ↔ O. Ogbemudia
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
46'
N. X. Muteba NTumba ↔ L. Bierschenk
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
46'
J. Sietan ↔ A. Ferati
Waldhof Mannheim
51'
E. Gul · Assist: F. Carlsen
FC Ingolstadt 04
57'
T. Boyd · Assist: A. Ferati
Waldhof Mannheim
65'
Y. Sturm · Assist: F. Carlsen
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
66'
D. Mendes ↔ Masca
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
70'
M. Costly ↔ J. Kugel
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
70'
M. Besuschkow ↔ L. Frode
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
76'
Terrence Boyd
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
78'
V. Thill ↔ J. Rieckmann
Waldhof Mannheim
🟥
80'
Lukas Fröde
FC Ingolstadt 04
81'
Y. Sturm · Assist: F. Carlsen
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
86'
S. Lorenz ↔ J. Maljojoki
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
89'
E. Gul ↔ B. Ozturk
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
89'
Y. Sturm ↔ E. Kehrer
FC Ingolstadt 04

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
91.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win 8.2%
Draw 47.1%
Waldhof Mannheim Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Ingolstadt 041.7
Waldhof Mannheim1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
WWDLW
60 GF / 55 GA
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
WLDWL
58 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
27
BTTS Yes
25
26
Over 2.5
25
4.23
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 37 matches
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 37 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04 Statistic Waldhof Mannheim
12 Wins 15
10 Draws 7
15 Losses 15
60 Goals For 58
55 Goals Against 67
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
27 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 32
26 Over 2.5 25
12 Over 3.5 17
7 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 8
4.23 Shots On Goal 3.52
11.45 Total Shots 10.23
3.74 Corners 4.06
41.6% Ball Possession 37.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights FC Ingolstadt 04's more proactive style and Waldhof Mannheim's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Ingolstadt 04 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Ingolstadt 04 expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Waldhof Mannheim in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waldhof Mannheim having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Waldhof Mannheim.

FC Ingolstadt 04 Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 46 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats with a 60:55 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Costly (17 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (9 assists), F. Carlsen (7 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Waldhof Mannheim Analysis

Waldhof Mannheim are currently 9 in the standings with 52 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 58:67 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Lohkemper (16 goals), T. Boyd (11 goals), K. Okpala (7 goals), with creative support from A. Ferati (8 assists), Niklas Hoffmann (4 assists), J. Rieckmann (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 5 times, Waldhof Mannheim won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from FC Ingolstadt 04's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-3 / Waldhof Mannheim 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 5, draws 5, Waldhof Mannheim wins 2
Stats
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Ingolstadt 04
Formation
Waldhof Mannheim
D. Klein
D. Klein
G. Antzoulas
G. Antzoulas
S. Lorenz
S. Lorenz
J. Scholz
J. Scholz
M. Plath
M. Plath
M. Besuschkow
M. Besuschkow
F. Carlsen
🎯
F. Carlsen
E. Gul
🎯
E. Gul
M. Costly
M. Costly
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe
Y. Sturm
⚽ 3
Y. Sturm
T. Nijhuis
T. Nijhuis
S. Ba
S. Ba
N. Hoffmann
N. Hoffmann
T. Sechelmann
T. Sechelmann
S. Abifade
S. Abifade
M. Thalhammer
M. Thalhammer
J. Sietan
J. Sietan
D. Mendes
D. Mendes
V. Thill
V. Thill
N. X. Muteba NTumba
N. X. Muteba NTumba
T. Boyd
T. Boyd
FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-3
Starting XI
47
D. Klein
G
6
G. Antzoulas
D
32
S. Lorenz
↓ 86'
D
15
J. Scholz
D
14
M. Plath
M
17
M. Besuschkow
↓ 70'
M
8
F. Carlsen
🎯 2' 🎯 51' 🎯 65' 🎯 81'
M
5
E. Gul
⚽ 51' 🎯 30' ↓ 89'
M
22
M. Costly
⚽ 30' ↓ 70'
M
2
M. Hoppe
D
7
Y. Sturm
⚽ 2' ⚽ 65' ⚽ 81' ↓ 89'
Substitutes
25
K. Eisele
G
23
J. Maljojoki
↑ 86'
D
29
J. Kugel
↑ 70'
30
O. Drakulic
34
L. Frode
↑ 70' 🟥 80'
M
39
B. Ozturk
↑ 89'
M
44
E. Kehrer
↑ 89'
F
48
N. Lakatos
D
49
T. Bagaric
M
Waldhof Mannheim 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Nijhuis
G
25
S. Ba
D
6
N. Hoffmann
↓ 46'
D
4
T. Sechelmann
D
17
S. Abifade
D
8
M. Thalhammer
M
22
J. Sietan
↓ 46'
M
35
D. Mendes
↓ 66'
F
12
V. Thill
↓ 78'
M
29
N. X. Muteba NTumba
↓ 46'
F
13
T. Boyd
⚽ 57' 🟨 76'
F
Substitutes
16
J. Niemann
5
O. Ogbemudia
↑ 46'
D
7
L. Bierschenk
↑ 46'
M
10
A. Ferati
🎯 57' ↑ 46'
M
14
E. Iwe
M
21
J. Rieckmann
↑ 78'
M
38
Masca
↑ 66'
M
41
D. Kryeziu
M
18
S. Yigit
Last matches: FC Ingolstadt 04
18.07.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Palermo
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Lask Linz
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Eichstätt
2
0
W
09.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
03.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
3
5
L
25.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
3
0
W
18.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
11.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
08.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
05.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
0
1
L
25.03.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
21.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
1
2
L
15.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
3
1
W
08.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
1
2
L
04.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
28.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
1
2
L
21.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
3
2
W
15.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
1
D
07.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
31.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
Last matches: Waldhof Mannheim
18.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
Eintracht Frankfurt II
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Thun
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
VfR Mannheim
2
0
W
09.05.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
0
W
02.05.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Saarbrücken
0
2
L
25.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
2
D
19.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
SV Wehen
3
3
D
11.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
MSV Duisburg
1
4
L
07.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Hoffenheim II
1
1
D
04.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
TSV 1860 München
1
1
D
21.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Erzgebirge Aue
2
1
W
14.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
VfL Osnabrück
1
4
L
08.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Havelse
3
1
W
04.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
01.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Alemannia Aachen
2
1
W
20.02.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Stuttgart II
1
3
L
15.02.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Energie Cottbus
1
1
D
06.02.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
SSV Ulm 1846
2
1
W
31.01.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Viktoria Köln
3
1
W
H2H: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Waldhof Mannheim
16.05.26
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
5
1
W
20.12.25
H2H
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
2
D
19.01.25
H2H
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
04.08.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
02.12.23
H2H
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
1
D
15.03.23
H2H
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
3
2
L
10.09.22
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
W
14.11.20
H2H
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
4
1
L
24.06.20
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
0
W
23.11.19
H2H
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Ingolstadt 04
18.07.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Palermo
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Lask Linz
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Eichstätt
2
0
W
03.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
3
5
L
18.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
08.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
21.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
1
2
L
08.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
1
2
L
04.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
21.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
3
2
W
07.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
24.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Ried
4
2
W
13.12.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
1
2
L
29.11.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
3
2
W
08.11.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
2
L
25.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
2
1
W
04.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
4
1
W
20.09.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
0
0
D
H2H at home: FC Ingolstadt 04
16.05.26
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
5
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
10.09.22
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
W
24.06.20
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
0
W
Last matches: Waldhof Mannheim
18.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
Eintracht Frankfurt II
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Thun
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
VfR Mannheim
2
0
W
02.05.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Saarbrücken
0
2
L
19.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
SV Wehen
3
3
D
04.04.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
TSV 1860 München
1
1
D
14.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
VfL Osnabrück
1
4
L
04.03.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
20.02.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Stuttgart II
1
3
L
15.02.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Energie Cottbus
1
1
D
31.01.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Viktoria Köln
3
1
W
17.01.26
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Verl
2
5
L
09.01.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
Hannover 96
0
1
L
06.01.26
Fri
Waldhof Mannheim
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
2
L
14.12.25
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
3
L
29.11.25
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
07.11.25
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
MSV Duisburg
1
2
L
02.11.25
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Hoffenheim II
0
2
L
17.10.25
3.
Waldhof Mannheim
Erzgebirge Aue
2
0
W
H2H away: Waldhof Mannheim
16.05.26
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
5
1
L
04.08.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
10.09.22
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
1
0
L
24.06.20
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
2
0
L

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation