SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
FBK Karlstad
Match Timeline
Assyriska FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
A. Bertilsson ↔ A. Parleholt
FBK Karlstad
🔄
46'
M. Qassem ↔ L. Steen
FBK Karlstad
🟨
63'
J. Hoiby
FBK Karlstad
🔄
63'
E. Navassardian ↔ B. Buisson
FBK Karlstad
🟨
64'
A. Kalabane
Assyriska FF
68'
A. Kalabane
Assyriska FF
🔄
69'
S. Edgren ↔ L. Hillemar
Assyriska FF
🟨
78'
K. Jarret-Marston
Assyriska FF
🔄
79'
W. Olsson ↔ F. Johansson Bahar
FBK Karlstad
🟥
87'
V. Johansson
FBK Karlstad
🔄
88'
S. Nnamani ↔ L. Jonsson
Assyriska FF
89'
F. Aaltonen
Assyriska FF
🟨
90+3'
A. Hagelberg
FBK Karlstad
🟨
90+5'
L. Jonsson
Assyriska FF
🔄
90+3'
F. Aaltonen ↔ S. Ishchyk
Assyriska FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FBK Karlstad Win 62.9%
Draw 14.7%
Assyriska FF Win 22.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBK Karlstad1.81
Assyriska FF1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WWDLW
38 GF / 32 GA
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF
WLDWL
43 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
12
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 22 matches
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 24 matches
FBK Karlstad Statistic Assyriska FF
11 Wins 6
3 Draws 7
8 Losses 11
38 Goals For 43
32 Goals Against 46
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
12 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FBK Karlstad's more proactive style and Assyriska FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Assyriska FF. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Assyriska FF having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FBK Karlstad arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 24 points compared to Assyriska FF in 12 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. FBK Karlstad have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

FBK Karlstad sit 6 with 24 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 23:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Assyriska FF Analysis

Assyriska FF sit 12 with 14 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, FBK Karlstad won 1 times, Assyriska FF won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from FBK Karlstad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: FBK Karlstad wins 1, draws 0, Assyriska FF wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L