Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
25 matches
FC Cajamarca
21 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 41 | Goals For | 28 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 9.05 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 2.55 |
| 54.7% | Ball Possession | 43.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FBC Melgar's more proactive style and FC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FBC Melgar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 28 points compared to FC Cajamarca in 15 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. FBC Melgar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Cajamarca.
FBC Melgar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 28 points after 17 matches. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:20, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Jhonny Vidales (6 goals), Bernardo Cuesta (5 goals), Nicolás Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Quagliata (7 assists), Matías Zegarra (3 assists), Bernardo Cuesta (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 17 points from 17 games and a place of 15, FC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 23:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brandon Palacios (4 goals), Hernán Barcos (2 goals), Mauricio Arrasco (2 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Enciso (3 assists), Hernán Barcos (2 assists), Ricardo Lagos (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 0 times, FC Cajamarca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
ADT
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
FC Cajamarca
Away
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
W
D
L
D
|