TURKEY 1. LIG
13.09.2026 17:00
Yusuf Ziya Onis

Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fatih Karagümrük Win 54%
Draw 12.2%
Manisa F.K. Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fatih Karagümrük1.54
Manisa F.K.1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
7
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 8 matches
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 5 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Statistic Manisa F.K.
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
12 Goals For 10
13 Goals Against 8
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
7 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.6
12.33 Total Shots 13.4
4.5 Corners 3.6
46.8% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Manisa F.K.'s more proactive style and Fatih Karagümrük's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Manisa F.K.. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fatih Karagümrük expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Manisa F.K. in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manisa F.K. having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fatih Karagümrük Analysis

Fatih Karagümrük are currently 11 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Biraschi (1 goals), E. Akbaba (1 goals), with creative support from A. Pešić (1 assists), A. Nukan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Manisa F.K. Analysis

So far, Manisa F.K. have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Anziani (2 goals), Y. Talum (1 goals), Jonathan Lindseth (1 goals), with creative support from C. Sylla (1 assists), Y. Benrahou (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 1 times, Manisa F.K. won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Fatih Karagümrük's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1 / Manisa F.K. 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Fatih Karagümrük wins 1, draws 1, Manisa F.K. wins 4

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 10:4 6 13
W W W W D
2 5 4 0 1 10:3 7 12
W W L W W
3 6 3 2 1 15:8 7 11
W W D D W
4 5 3 1 1 7:3 4 10
D L W W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L W W L D
6 6 2 3 1 11:3 8 9
W L D D D
7 5 2 3 0 8:3 5 9
D D W W D
8 5 3 0 2 7:4 3 9
W W L L W
9 5 2 2 1 10:8 2 8
L D D W W
10 5 2 2 1 3:2 1 8
W W D D L
11 5 2 2 1 6:6 0 8
D D W W L
12 6 2 2 2 8:11 -3 8
W L D W L
13 5 2 0 3 8:10 -2 6
W L L L W
14 5 0 4 1 2:3 -1 4
D L D D D
15 5 0 4 1 2:4 -2 4
D D D D L
16 5 1 1 3 5:11 -6 4
L D W L L
17 5 0 3 2 5:8 -3 3
D L D L D
18 6 0 3 3 4:7 -3 3
L L D D L
19 5 0 2 3 5:13 -8 2
L D L D L
20 6 0 0 6 1:17 -16 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation