Aucas vs Barcelona SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63%
|
1.71 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
66.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.24 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.7%
|
1.37 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
30 matches
Barcelona SC
42 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 11 |
| 9 | Losses | 15 |
| 33 | Goals For | 40 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 11.96 | Total Shots | 12.29 |
| 4.86 | Corners | 3.97 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aucas expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Barcelona SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona SC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barcelona SC.
Operating from 3 place with 44 points from 26 games, Aucas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 30:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Ayrton Preciado (3 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), with creative support from Ayrton Preciado (3 assists), Piero Guzmán (3 assists), Andres Mena (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Barcelona SC sit 6 with 39 points after 27 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Martínez (2 assists), Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 7 times, Barcelona SC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Aucas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Home
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Barcelona SC
Away
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|