Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Famalicao
Alverca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Famalicao
33 matches
Alverca
33 matches
| Famalicao | Statistic | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 10 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 41 | Goals For | 35 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 12.45 | Total Shots | 9.73 |
| 5.45 | Corners | 4.36 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 44.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Famalicao's more proactive style and Alverca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alverca. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Famalicao expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Alverca in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alverca having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Famalicao arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 53 points after 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, while the 41:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. De Haas (5 goals), Sorriso (5 goals), G. Sa (4 goals), with creative support from Gil Dias (7 assists), Sorriso (4 assists), Pedro Santos (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Alverca are currently 11 in the standings with 39 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 35:51 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marezi (9 goals), Figueiredo (6 goals), Sandro Lima (5 goals), with creative support from Lincoln (5 assists), Nabil Touaizi (5 assists), Chiquinho (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Famalicao won 2 times, Alverca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Famalicao's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Famalicao
2
1
6
6
3
0
Lineups
Famalicao
Estrela
Famalicao
Benfica
Famalicao
Estoril
Famalicao
SC Braga
Famalicao
Moreirense
Famalicao
FC Porto
Famalicao
Nacional
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Arouca
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Famalicao
AVS
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
Tondela
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Alverca
Famalicao
Estrela
Famalicao
Benfica
Famalicao
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Arouca
Alverca
Nacional
Alverca
Casa Pia
Alverca
Rio Ave
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Alverca
AVS
Alverca
Guimaraes
Alverca
Santa Clara
Alverca
Tondela
Alverca
Benfica
Alverca
Estrela
Alverca
SC Braga
Alverca
Moreirense
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Arouca
Famalicao
Benfica
Famalicao
Moreirense
Famalicao
Nacional
Famalicao
Arouca
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Famalicao
AVS
Famalicao
Tondela
Famalicao
Estrela
Famalicao
Estoril
Famalicao
SC Braga
Famalicao
FC Porto
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Nacional
Alverca
Rio Ave
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Alverca
Guimaraes
Alverca
Tondela
Alverca
Benfica
Alverca
SC Braga
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
Arouca
Alverca
Casa Pia
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
AVS
Alverca
Santa Clara
Alverca
Estrela
Alverca
Moreirense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Famalicao
Home
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Alverca
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|