JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
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City Light Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds 2.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
2.16
BTTS Yes
86%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.58
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Fagiano Okayama Win 63.3%
Draw 5.8%
Tokyo Verdy Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fagiano Okayama1.4
Tokyo Verdy1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WLDWL
2 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2 matches
Fagiano Okayama Statistic Tokyo Verdy
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
2 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4
19.5 Total Shots 14
6.5 Corners 3.5
46.5% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 7 times, Tokyo Verdy won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Fagiano Okayama's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fagiano Okayama wins 7, draws 1, Tokyo Verdy wins 7
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
15.08.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
08.08.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
FC Schalke 04
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Werder Bremen
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
FC Kharkiv
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
SC Paderborn 07
1
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
SV Wehen
0
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
14.08.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
3
L
09.08.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
06.06.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6
L
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
H2H: Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy
20.09.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
4
2
L
29.04.25
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
2
3
W
11.06.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
23.10.22
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
L
01.05.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
09.10.21
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
W
16.06.21
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
W
05.06.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
11.10.20
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
W
09.09.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
05.10.19
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
W
28.04.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
07.07.18
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
W
27.06.18
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
15.08.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
08.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
01.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Fagiano Okayama
29.04.25
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
11.06.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
01.05.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
05.06.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.09.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
28.04.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
27.06.18
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
H2H away: Tokyo Verdy
29.04.25
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
W
01.05.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
L
05.06.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
W
09.09.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
W
28.04.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
27.06.18
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.92
Draw 3.01
Home 2.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.81
Draw 2.00
Home 2.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.65
Over 2.0 1.91
Over 2.25 2.25
Over 2.5 2.58
Over 3.5 5.04
Under 0.5 6.39
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.27
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 2.90
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 1.95
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.60
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.89
Draw 2.99
Home 2.19
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 1.83
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.20
Home 2.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.34
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.67
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.20
Over 2.5 2.52
Over 2.75 2.83
Over 3.0 3.74
Over 3.25 4.10
Over 3.5 4.45
Over 3.75 5.64
Over 4.0 8.10
Over 4.5 8.70
Over 5.5 20.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 0.75 5.37
Under 1.0 4.80
Under 1.25 3.18
Under 1.5 2.53
Under 1.75 2.24
Under 2.0 1.84
Under 2.25 1.69
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.33
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 3.75 1.08
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.95
Home 2.08
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 1.90
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.17
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.0 1.16
Over 1.5 1.54
Over 2.0 2.00
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.0 4.35
Over 3.25 4.70
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.0 10.00
Under 0.5 5.60
Under 1.0 4.50
Under 1.5 2.28
Under 2.0 1.68
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.0 1.16
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.0 1.04

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 9:1 8 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
D W
6 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
7 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
W L
9 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
12 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
13 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
14 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
16 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
L D
17 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
D L
18 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 4:8 -4 0
L L
20 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League