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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
22.08.2026 09:30
City Light Stadium
Referee: Jumpei Iida, Japan
Fagiano Okayama
Match Timeline
Tokyo Verdy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Inoue Ryota
Tokyo Verdy
🟨
56'
Shuhei Mizoguchi
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
56'
Joi Yamamoto ↔ Yuan Matsuhashi
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
60'
Towa Yamane ↔ Noah Kenshin Browne
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
61'
Lucão ↔ Léo Gaúcho
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
64'
Hiroshi Omori
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
65'
Yuya Fukuda ↔ Issei Kumatoriya
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
65'
Hayato Hirao ↔ Goki Yamada
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
67'
Sang-Ho Na ↔ Kazunari Ichimi
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
77'
Ataru Esaka ↔ Yuta Kamiya
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
77'
Kosuke Shirai ↔ Soichiro Mori
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
86'
Itsuki Someno ↔ Ryosuke Shirai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
86'
Kazuya Miyahara ↔ Kaito Suzuki
Tokyo Verdy

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fagiano Okayama Win 63.3%
Draw 5.8%
Tokyo Verdy Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fagiano Okayama1.4
Tokyo Verdy1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
W L
2 GF / 2 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
L D
2 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2 matches
Fagiano Okayama Statistic Tokyo Verdy
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
2 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4
19.5 Total Shots 14
6.5 Corners 3.5
46.5% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 7 times, Tokyo Verdy won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Fagiano Okayama's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fagiano Okayama wins 7, draws 2, Tokyo Verdy wins 6

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 30:10 20 27
D W W W L
2 12 8 2 2 29:10 19 26
W L W W W
3 12 8 1 3 25:19 6 25
W D L W W
4 11 7 3 1 21:8 13 24
D W W W W
5 12 7 2 3 18:11 7 23
D L W L W
6 12 6 2 4 25:21 4 20
L D W W D
7 11 5 4 2 23:17 6 19
W W L D W
8 11 6 0 5 20:23 -3 18
W W L W L
9 11 4 5 2 15:11 4 17
D D D W D
10 11 5 1 5 14:15 -1 16
W L L L W
11 12 4 2 6 10:20 -10 14
L L D W W
12 11 4 1 6 13:17 -4 13
D W W L L
13 11 3 4 4 10:17 -7 13
D L D D L
14 11 3 3 5 15:18 -3 12
W L D D W
15 12 2 5 5 14:21 -7 11
D W D L L
16 12 2 4 6 15:23 -8 10
D D L L W
17 11 2 3 6 12:16 -4 9
L L L L L
18 12 1 5 6 9:21 -12 8
W D L L L
19 12 2 1 9 13:21 -8 7
L L L W L
20 11 1 3 7 10:22 -12 6
L D D L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League