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BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Haradski Stadium

Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 86%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
86%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 36.9%
Draw 49.1%
FC Dnepr Mogilev Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.28
FC Dnepr Mogilev1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
34 GF / 59 GA
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
WLDWL
36 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
14
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
17
1.36
Shots on Goal
1.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 33 matches
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 34 matches
Arsenal Statistic FC Dnepr Mogilev
8 Wins 5
9 Draws 12
16 Losses 17
34 Goals For 36
59 Goals Against 56
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
14 BTTS Yes 21
26 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 7
13 Failed To Score 11
1.36 Shots On Goal 1.96
0.52 Total Shots 0.76
1.76 Corners 2.4
21.9% Ball Possession 23.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Dnepr Mogilev. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arsenal expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Dnepr Mogilev in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dnepr Mogilev having the stronger overall control.

Arsenal Analysis

Arsenal sit 12 with 23 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats with a 24:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Dnepr Mogilev Analysis

With 16 points from 24 games and a place of 16, FC Dnepr Mogilev still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats with a 22:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 / FC Dnepr Mogilev 4-3-3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 8 1 50:18 32 53
W W W W D
2 24 14 7 3 41:20 21 49
W D L W D
3 23 15 4 4 43:19 24 49
W W W L D
4 25 13 5 7 41:25 16 44
D W W W W
5 25 13 4 8 31:21 10 43
L W W W W
6 25 11 7 7 29:21 8 40
W D W D L
7 25 11 7 7 36:25 11 40
D L W L W
8 25 10 4 11 32:33 -1 34
L L L W W
9 24 8 6 10 29:31 -2 30
L W L L L
10 24 6 7 11 25:31 -6 25
L L L L W
11 25 6 7 12 24:42 -18 25
L L L D W
12 24 5 8 11 24:42 -18 23
L L D D L
13 25 4 9 12 19:32 -13 21
L L W L D
14 23 5 6 12 23:40 -17 21
L W D D D
15 25 3 10 12 24:40 -16 19
W L L D L
16 24 4 5 15 24:55 -31 17
W W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga