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INDONESIA › LIGA 1
25.10.2026 08:30
Kanjuruhan Stadium

Arema FC vs Dewa United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arema FC Win 42.5%
Draw 10.9%
Dewa United Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arema FC1.8
Dewa United1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arema FC Arema FC
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Dewa United Dewa United
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
2
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arema FC Arema FC 5 matches
Dewa United Dewa United 5 matches
Arema FC Statistic Dewa United
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
11 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 6
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dewa United having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dewa United. Dewa United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 11 points while Arema FC sit 10 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Arema FC Analysis

Arema FC sit 10 with 6 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 11:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Dewa United Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 11 points from 5 games, Dewa United bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Arema FC won 2 times, Dewa United won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Arema FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: Arema FC wins 2, draws 2, Dewa United wins 4

Standings

Liga 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 10:4 6 12
L W W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:6 4 11
D W W D W
3 5 3 2 0 11:8 3 11
W W D W D
4 5 3 1 1 10:7 3 10
D L W W W
5 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
W D W L W
6 5 3 0 2 14:7 7 9
L W L W W
7 5 2 3 0 6:4 2 9
D W D W D
8 5 1 4 0 10:8 2 7
D D W D D
9 5 2 1 2 5:3 2 7
L W D W L
10 5 1 3 1 11:9 2 6
L D D D W
11 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
L W L W L
12 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 5
W W L L D
13 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
W L D L D
14 5 1 2 2 8:12 -4 5
W L D D L
15 5 1 1 3 8:9 -1 4
D W L L L
16 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 1
W L L L L
18 5 0 0 5 2:12 -10 0
L L L L L