Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
58.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Express
Lugazi
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Express
28 matches
Lugazi
28 matches
| Express | Statistic | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 14 |
| 28 | Goals For | 19 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.68 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lugazi. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Lugazi arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lugazi having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Express have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 36 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 28:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. K. Ssenoga (8 goals), R. Basangwa (6 goals), K. Kimera (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 24 points from 28 games and a place of 13, Lugazi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 19:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mungudit (5 goals), A. Kalanzi (3 goals), A. Mulindi (2 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Express won 0 times, Lugazi won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Express's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
Lineups
Express
Vipers
Express
Kitara
Express
Buhimba Saints
Express
Mbarara City
Express
BUL
Express
NEC
Express
UPDF
Express
Police
Express
URA
Express
KCCA
Express
SC Villa
Express
Maroons
Express
Calvary
Express
Entebbe UPPC
Express
NEC
Express
Kitara
Express
Buhimba Saints
Express
SC Villa
Express
Maroons
Express
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
Maroons
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
Kitara
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
Calvary
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
KCCA
Lugazi
URA
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
UPDF
Lugazi
Police
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
Police
Express
Kitara
Express
BUL
Express
NEC
Express
Police
Express
URA
Express
Maroons
Express
Entebbe UPPC
Express
Buhimba Saints
Express
SC Villa
Express
Calvary
Express
Vipers
Express
Mbarara City
Express
KCCA
Express
UPDF
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
Calvary
Lugazi
URA
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
Police
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
UPDF
Lugazi
Maroons
Lugazi
Kitara
Lugazi
KCCA
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Express
Home
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 |
Lugazi
Away
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|