Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
Utrecht Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior2.72
Utrecht1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
23 GF / 9 GA
Utrecht
WLDWL
6 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
3.29
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
5
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
7 matches
Utrecht
7 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 6 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 3.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 2 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 44.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 2 times, Utrecht won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from Excelsior's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / Utrecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 2, draws 6, Utrecht wins 7
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
Last matches: Utrecht
15.08.26
Ere
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
09.08.26
Ere
Utrecht
Groningen
1
2
L
02.08.26
Fri
Utrecht
Sevilla
0
1
L
24.07.26
Fri
Utrecht
Cambuur
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Utrecht
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Utrecht
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Utrecht
De Graafschap
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
Ajax
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
Heerenveen
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
Ajax
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
NAC Breda
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ere
Utrecht
Excelsior
0
5
L
11.04.26
Ere
Utrecht
Telstar
4
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
3
4
L
22.03.26
Ere
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
Utrecht
Twente
2
0
W
06.03.26
Ere
Utrecht
Heracles
0
0
D
01.03.26
Ere
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
H2H: Excelsior vs Utrecht
26.04.26
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
4
1
L
27.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
2
2
D
25.01.23
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
1
0
L
02.10.22
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
0
1
L
23.02.19
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
0
0
D
30.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
3
3
D
04.02.18
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
2
2
D
19.11.17
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
3
1
L
04.04.17
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
3
L
06.11.16
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
2
1
L
18.03.16
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
2
1
L
03.10.15
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
0
W
10.05.15
H2H
Utrecht
Excelsior
2
2
D
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
05.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Excelsior
26.04.26
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
27.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
1
D
02.10.22
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
0
1
L
30.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
3
3
D
04.02.18
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
2
2
D
04.04.17
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
3
L
03.10.15
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
0
W
Last matches: Utrecht
09.08.26
Ere
Utrecht
Groningen
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Utrecht
Cambuur
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
Ajax
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
Utrecht
Ajax
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ere
Utrecht
Excelsior
0
5
L
04.04.26
Ere
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
3
4
L
15.03.26
Ere
Utrecht
Twente
2
0
W
06.03.26
Ere
Utrecht
Heracles
0
0
D
14.02.26
Ere
Utrecht
Groningen
2
1
W
11.02.26
Ere
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
3
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
Utrecht
Heerenveen
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
Utrecht
Celtic
2
4
L
18.01.26
Ere
Utrecht
FC Volendam
1
2
L
14.12.25
Ere
Utrecht
NAC Breda
1
1
D
30.11.25
Ere
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
27.11.25
UEF
Utrecht
Real Betis
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ere
Utrecht
Telstar
1
1
D
26.10.25
Ere
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
23.10.25
UEF
Utrecht
SC Freiburg
0
2
L
05.10.25
Ere
Utrecht
Feyenoord
2
3
L
H2H away: Utrecht
26.04.26
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
1
D
02.10.22
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
0
1
W
30.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
3
3
D
04.02.18
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
2
2
D
04.04.17
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
3
W
03.10.15
H2H
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
0
L
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Excelsior
Home
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Utrecht
Away
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie