NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

13.09.2026 10:15

Excelsior

Utrecht

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 70.2%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 87%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	70.2%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	87%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	79.8%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Excelsior Win 70.2%

Draw 4.3%

Utrecht Win 25.6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior2.8

Utrecht1.26

Recent Form (Last 5)

Excelsior

WWDLW

30 GF / 12 GA

Utrecht

WLDWL

13 GF / 25 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

1.3

1.2

Average Goals Conceded

2.5

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.4

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excelsior 10 matches

Utrecht 10 matches

Excelsior	Statistic	Utrecht
8	Wins	1
1	Draws	2
1	Losses	7
30	Goals For	13
12	Goals Against	25
3	Avg Goals Scored	1.3
1.2	Avg Goals Conceded	2.5
7	BTTS Yes	7
10	Over 1.5	7
9	Over 2.5	7
6	Over 3.5	5
3	Clean Sheets	0
0	Failed To Score	3
5.4	Shots On Goal	4
13	Total Shots	11.6
5	Corners	3.6
42.2%	Ball Possession	41.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 2 times, Utrecht won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from Excelsior's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)

Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / Utrecht 3-4-3

Missing players: Excelsior 1, Utrecht 7

H2H summary: Excelsior wins 2, draws 6, Utrecht wins 7

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	16:5	11	15	W W W W W
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	18:6	12	13	W W W W D
3	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	13:7	6	11	W D W D W
4	Excelsior Home	5	3	1	1	12:5	7	10	D W W L W
5	Twente	5	3	1	1	10:5	5	10	W D W W L
6	Fortuna Sittard	5	3	1	1	11:9	2	10	W W L W D
7	GO Ahead Eagles	5	2	2	1	14:12	2	8	D L W D W
8	Ajax	4	2	1	1	9:5	4	7	L W D W
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	11:9	2	7	D L W W L
10	Groningen	5	2	1	2	11:12	-1	7	D L L W W
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	9:9	0	5	D L D W L
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5	L D L D W
13	PEC Zwolle	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4	D L W L L
14	Telstar	5	1	1	3	5:11	-6	4	L D L L W
15	Utrecht Away	5	0	2	3	9:18	-9	2	D L D L L
16	Willem II	4	0	1	3	4:13	-9	1	L D L L
17	ADO Den Haag	5	0	1	4	6:14	-8	1	L D L L L
18	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	6:18	-12	1	D L L L L