Vila Nova vs Goias Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.5%
|
2.08 | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1%
|
1.44 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
8.00 |
Vila Nova
Goias
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
26 matches
Goias
26 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 37 | Goals For | 25 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 3.46 |
| 12.96 | Total Shots | 10.96 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vila Nova's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Goias. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 44 points compared to Goias in 10 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Vila Nova approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 44 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 37:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), André Luís (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (5 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
From their first 25 matches, Goias have collected 36 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 25:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 7 times, Goias won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Vila Nova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 |
Goias
Away
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|