BRAZIL SERIE B
10.09.2026 22:30
Referee: A. Daronco
Vila Nova
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🟨
14'
João Pedro Vieira
Vila Nova
🟨
21'
Luis Fellipe Campos Doria
Goias
🟨
36'
Hayner
Vila Nova
🟨
45'
Douglas Mendes
Vila Nova
🟨
45+4'
Eduardo Dos Santos
Vila Nova
🔄
45'
Ryan lima ↔ Everton Galdino
Vila Nova
🟨
46'
Bruno Xavier
Vila Nova
🔄
64'
Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida ↔ Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
Goias
🔄
64'
Wellington Rato ↔ Lucas Lima
Goias
67'
Hayner · Assist: João Pedro Vieira
Vila Nova
🟨
68'
André Luís
Vila Nova
🔄
71'
João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço ↔ Adilson dos Anjos Oliveira
Goias
🔄
72'
Ramon Menezes ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Goias
76'
André Luís · Assist: João Pedro Vieira
Vila Nova
🔄
78'
Lucas Rodrigues ↔ Jean Carlos
Goias
🔄
78'
Marquinhos Gabriel ↔ Raphael Guimarães de Paula
Vila Nova
🔄
78'
Eduardo Dos Santos ↔ Willian Maranhão
Vila Nova
🔄
83'
João Pedro Vieira ↔ Higor Meritão
Vila Nova
🔄
85'
André Luís ↔ Emerson
Vila Nova

Vila Nova vs Goias Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds 2.08
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
2.08
BTTS No
65.8%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-0
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Vila Nova Win 72.5%
Draw 4.1%
Goias Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vila Nova1.33
Goias1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WWDLW
37 GF / 30 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
25 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
11
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
4.04
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vila Nova Vila Nova 26 matches
Goias Goias 26 matches
Vila Nova Statistic Goias
13 Wins 10
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 10
37 Goals For 25
30 Goals Against 31
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
11 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 9
4.04 Shots On Goal 3.46
12.96 Total Shots 10.96
4.92 Corners 4.19
52.3% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vila Nova's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Goias. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 44 points compared to Goias in 10 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Vila Nova Analysis

Vila Nova approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 44 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 37:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), André Luís (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (5 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Goias Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Goias have collected 36 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 25:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 7 times, Goias won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Vila Nova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Vila Nova 4-2-3-1 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vila Nova wins 7, draws 5, Goias wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
11 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13
Goias Away
28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
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