COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
10.09.2026 22:00
Estadio La Independencia
Patriotas
Match Timeline
Barranquilla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
36'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
🔄
46'
D. Torres ↔ J. Cortez
Barranquilla
🔄
46'
S. Borja ↔ J. Munoz
Barranquilla
🔄
46'
D. A. Mendoza Benitez ↔ M. Agamez
Barranquilla
50'
S. E. Bello Vivas
Patriotas
🟨
56'
J. Navia
Barranquilla
🟨
57'
J. Sanchez
Patriotas
🔄
59'
J. Navia ↔ J. Chaparro
Barranquilla
60'
P. Oviedo
Barranquilla
🔄
68'
J. Campana ↔ A. Mora
Patriotas
🔄
68'
J. Sanchez ↔ J. Montes
Patriotas
🟨
70'
F. Figueroa
Patriotas
🔄
77'
L. Gomez ↔ M. Bolivar
Barranquilla
🔄
83'
F. Figueroa ↔ T. Molina
Patriotas
🔄
83'
K. Alvarez ↔ D. Montien
Patriotas

Patriotas vs Barranquilla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
1.62
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.91
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.35
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Patriotas Win 70.2%
Draw 11.3%
Barranquilla Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patriotas1.16
Barranquilla1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patriotas Patriotas
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Barranquilla Barranquilla
WLDWL
34 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
10
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patriotas Patriotas 21 matches
Barranquilla Barranquilla 27 matches
Patriotas Statistic Barranquilla
7 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 11
23 Goals For 34
25 Goals Against 34
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
10 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 22
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barranquilla having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Barranquilla. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barranquilla arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Patriotas Analysis

Patriotas are currently 11 in the standings with 25 points from 20 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barranquilla Analysis

Barranquilla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 28 points from 25 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas won 3 times, Barranquilla won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Patriotas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
H2H summary: Patriotas wins 3, draws 0, Barranquilla wins 2

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 39:27 12 56
W W L L L
2 32 15 9 8 50:35 15 54
D L W L W
3 31 14 9 8 40:28 12 51
D D D L L
4 30 14 9 7 31:21 10 51
L L D D W
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:25 5 41
W D W L W
7 30 9 10 11 25:31 -6 37
W D L L W
8 24 9 9 6 23:17 6 36
L W D W W
9 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
10 30 9 7 14 36:41 -5 34
L L L W W
11 24 7 9 8 30:28 2 30
W W W W L
12 23 6 8 9 17:23 -6 26
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 24 5 8 11 24:35 -11 23
L W W W W
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 24 3 9 12 20:37 -17 18
D L D W W
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)