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VENEZUELA › PRIMERA DIVISIóN
12.09.2026 21:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Merida
Referee: Y. Herrera
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Match Timeline
Deportivo Tachira FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
jean gutierez
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
41'
Hector Acosta
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
60'
Juan David Sánchez
Deportivo Tachira FC
⚽
62'
J. Lobo · Assist: C. Rivas
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
64'
V. Adamo ↔ O. Hernandez
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
64'
J. Sanchez ↔ A. Penaranda
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
68'
Pablo Camacho
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
73'
J. Caraballo ↔ A. Woiski
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
73'
F. Provenzano ↔ L. Zuniga
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
75'
D. Matheus ↔ Y. Lacruz
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
76'
J. Hernandez ↔ R. Chacon
Estudiantes de Merida FC
⚽
78'
R. Chacon
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
80'
Luis Caicedo
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
82'
A. Perez ↔ B. Palmezano
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
84'
C. Rivas ↔ M. Maldonado
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
88'
Jose Montilla
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟥
90+6'
Jose Montilla
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
90+1'
↔ G. Montes
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
90+1'
R. Ivey ↔ C. Magallan
Estudiantes de Merida FC

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
70.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 32.5%
Draw 11.3%
Deportivo Tachira FC Win 56.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.09
Deportivo Tachira FC1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WWDLW
31 GF / 35 GA
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
WLDWL
49 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 27 matches
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 32 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Statistic Deportivo Tachira FC
10 Wins 19
5 Draws 6
12 Losses 7
31 Goals For 49
35 Goals Against 32
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 4.25
0 Total Shots 10.75
0 Corners 4.5
0% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Merida FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportivo Tachira FC in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Tachira FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Tachira FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Estudiantes de Merida FC have collected 32 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Tachira FC Analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 43 points after 21 outings. With 13 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 1 times, Deportivo Tachira FC won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3 / Deportivo Tachira FC 5-4-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 1, draws 0, Deportivo Tachira FC wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 45:19 26 56
W W W W W
2 25 15 5 5 45:27 18 50
W W D L W
3 25 12 8 5 36:22 14 44
D L L L W
4 25 10 10 5 36:22 14 40
W D W W W
5 25 10 9 6 32:23 9 39
W W D L D
6 25 9 11 5 34:24 10 38
D L W D D
7 25 11 5 9 37:35 2 38
L D W W D
8 25 10 6 9 34:32 2 36
L D L W L
9 25 6 11 8 28:32 -4 29
W D L L W
10 25 8 4 13 28:36 -8 28
W D W W L
11 25 6 7 12 25:39 -14 25
L L L L D
12 25 7 4 14 30:50 -20 25
L D W D L
13 25 3 6 16 21:45 -24 15
L D L W L
14 25 3 5 17 21:46 -25 14
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2