Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 35%
Draw 5.1%
Deportivo Tachira FC Win 59.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.11
Deportivo Tachira FC1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WWDLW
31 GF / 34 GA
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
WLDWL
46 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 26 matches
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 31 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Statistic Deportivo Tachira FC
10 Wins 18
5 Draws 6
11 Losses 7
31 Goals For 46
34 Goals Against 31
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 4.25
0 Total Shots 10.75
0 Corners 4.5
0% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Tachira FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Tachira FC having the stronger overall control.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Estudiantes de Merida FC have collected 20 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Tachira FC Analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 24 points after 13 matches. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 17:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 1 times, Deportivo Tachira FC won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:33 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3 / Deportivo Tachira FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 1, draws 3, Deportivo Tachira FC wins 11

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 22 5 10 7 23:27 -4 25
L W D D D
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 24:34 -10 21
W L W L D
12 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2