PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Referee: Carlos Macedo, Portugal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.1%
1.22
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Estoril Win 40.3%
Draw 20.8%
Rio Ave Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estoril0.97
Rio Ave1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estoril Estoril
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estoril Estoril 6 matches
Rio Ave Rio Ave 6 matches
Estoril Statistic Rio Ave
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 7
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 1.5
11.5 Total Shots 9.5
5.5 Corners 4
45.5% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 6 times, Rio Ave won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Estoril's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Estoril 4-2-3-1 / Rio Ave 4-3-3
H2H summary: Estoril wins 6, draws 4, Rio Ave wins 5
Last matches: Estoril
16.08.26
Pri
Estoril
Nacional
0
2
L
07.08.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Estoril
CF Os Belenenses
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Torreense
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Alverca
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Atlético CP
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Alverca
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Estoril
SC Braga
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Moreirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Estoril
FC Porto
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Arouca
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Nacional
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Casa Pia
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Sporting CP
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Estoril
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Estoril
AVS
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Tondela
2
2
D
Last matches: Rio Ave
15.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Vitória SC
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
H2H: Estoril vs Rio Ave
22.03.26
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
L
01.11.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
0
4
W
22.02.25
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
2
D
31.01.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
0
W
13.02.23
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
0
L
19.08.22
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
2
D
12.01.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
1
2
W
30.03.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
0
L
04.11.17
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
0
2
L
06.03.17
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
0
2
L
01.10.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
1
2
W
07.03.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Estoril
1
3
W
24.10.15
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
2
D
Last matches: Estoril
07.08.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Torreense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Atlético CP
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Estoril
FC Porto
1
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Casa Pia
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Estoril
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Tondela
2
2
D
24.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Vitória SC
4
2
W
27.12.25
Pri
Estoril
Alverca
4
1
W
19.12.25
Pri
Estoril
SC Braga
1
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
Estoril
Moreirense
3
3
D
07.11.25
Pri
Estoril
Arouca
4
3
W
26.10.25
Pri
Estoril
Nacional
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pri
Estoril
Sporting CP
0
1
L
13.09.25
Pri
Estoril
AVS
3
1
W
06.09.25
Pri
Estoril
Santa Clara
0
1
L
11.08.25
Pri
Estoril
Estrela
1
1
D
H2H at home: Estoril
22.03.26
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
0
W
19.08.22
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
2
D
04.11.17
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
0
2
L
06.03.17
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
0
2
L
24.10.15
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
2
D
Last matches: Rio Ave
09.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Vitória SC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
3
L
23.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
3
3
D
H2H away: Rio Ave
22.03.26
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
0
L
19.08.22
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
2
D
04.11.17
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
0
2
W
06.03.17
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
0
2
W
24.10.15
H2H
Estoril
Rio Ave
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 3.67
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.47
Draw 2.36
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.60
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 2.75 2.04
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.25 2.69
Over 3.5 2.98
Over 4.5 5.55
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.11
Under 2.25 2.39
Under 2.5 2.03
Under 2.75 1.83
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.50
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.25
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.99
Draw 3.72
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.35
Draw 2.15
Home 2.44
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 2.56
Home 2.19
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.27
Over 2.0 1.34
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 2.75 2.06
Over 3.0 2.29
Over 3.25 2.57
Over 3.5 2.85
Over 3.75 3.50
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.09
Over 4.5 5.45
Over 4.75 7.70
Over 5.0 7.80
Over 5.5 9.70
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 12.20
Under 1.0 8.80
Under 1.25 5.15
Under 1.5 3.70
Under 1.75 3.32
Under 2.0 2.90
Under 2.25 2.39
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.83
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 3.55
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.55
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.82
Over 3.0 2.43
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 4.5 5.40
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 5:0 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
4 2 1 1 0 9:2 7 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
W D
7 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
8 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
12 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
13 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
L D
16 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 0:3 -3 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:8 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2