PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

22.08.2026 17:00

Estoril

0 - 2

Rio Ave

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Referee: Carlos Macedo, Portugal

Estoril

Match Timeline

Rio Ave

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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VAR

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Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 61.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 64.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	61.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64.5%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	80.2%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Estoril Win 40.3%

Draw 20.8%

Rio Ave Win 38.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril0.97

Rio Ave1.4

Recent Form (Last 5)

Estoril

WWDLW

5 GF / 6 GA

Rio Ave

WLDWL

10 GF / 7 GA

Key Stats

0.83

Average Goals Scored

1.67

Average Goals Conceded

1.17

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estoril 6 matches

Rio Ave 6 matches

Estoril	Statistic	Rio Ave
1	Wins	3
3	Draws	1
2	Losses	2
5	Goals For	10
6	Goals Against	7
0.83	Avg Goals Scored	1.67
1	Avg Goals Conceded	1.17
2	BTTS Yes	3
5	Over 1.5	5
1	Over 2.5	4
0	Over 3.5	2
2	Clean Sheets	1
3	Failed To Score	2
4	Shots On Goal	1.5
11.5	Total Shots	9.5
5.5	Corners	4
45.5%	Ball Possession	42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 6 times, Rio Ave won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Estoril's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)

Predicted formations: Estoril 4-2-3-1 / Rio Ave 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Estoril wins 6, draws 3, Rio Ave wins 6

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18:3	15	21	W W W W W
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16	L W W W W
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17:8	9	15	D D W W W
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	7	15	D W W D W
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	D L D W L
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7:5	2	11	D W L W W
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9:9	0	11	W W W L D
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10	L D W D W
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8	D L L D W
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8	W W L D L
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8:12	-4	8	D L L L D
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8:14	-6	8	D W L L W
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7	W D D D L
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5	D L D L W
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4	L L L L L
16	Rio Ave Away	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4	L D L L W
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3:16	-13	4	W L D L L
18	Estoril Home	7	0	2	5	3:10	-7	2	L L D L L