SPAIN › LA LIGA
13.05.2026 17:00
RCDE Stadium
Referee: F. Maeso
Espanyol
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
D. Vivian ↔ Y. Alvarez
Athletic Club
🔄
63'
A. Roca ↔ P. Milla
Espanyol
🔄
63'
R. Sanchez ↔ Jofre
Espanyol
🔄
63'
I. Williams ↔ G. Guruzeta
Athletic Club
🔄
63'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↔ M. Jauregizar
Athletic Club
⚽
69'
P. Milla · Assist: C. Romero
Espanyol
🔄
71'
J. Areso ↔ A. Gorosabel
Athletic Club
🔄
78'
U. Gomez ↔ N. Serrano
Athletic Club
🔄
84'
Exposito ↔ R. Terrats
Espanyol
🔄
84'
R. Fernandez Jaen ↔ K. Garcia
Espanyol
🔄
90+1'
U. Gonzalez ↔ C. Pickel
Espanyol
⚽
90'
K. Garcia · Assist: R. Terrats
Espanyol

Espanyol vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 24.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
24.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Espanyol Win 28.8%
Draw 25%
Athletic Club Win 46.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Espanyol1.24
Athletic Club1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Espanyol Espanyol
WWDLW
40 GF / 55 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
56 GF / 71 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
21
BTTS Yes
24
19
Over 2.5
23
3.89
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Espanyol Espanyol 37 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 48 matches
Espanyol Statistic Athletic Club
11 Wins 18
9 Draws 7
17 Losses 23
40 Goals For 56
55 Goals Against 71
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
21 BTTS Yes 24
27 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 23
9 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 18
3.89 Shots On Goal 4.23
12.41 Total Shots 13.42
4.73 Corners 5.65
41.3% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Athletic Club. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Espanyol Analysis

Espanyol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 39 points from 35 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats with a 38:53 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Garcia (6 goals), P. Milla (6 goals), R. Fernandez Jaen (6 goals), with creative support from Exposito (6 assists), T. Dolan (4 assists), R. Fernandez Jaen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without F. Calero, J. Puado, T. Dolan, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 9 with 44 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 17 defeats with a 40:51 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gorka Guruzeta (9 goals), N. Williams (6 goals), R. Navarro (6 goals), with creative support from Yuri Berchiche (5 assists), I. Williams (4 assists), Gorka Guruzeta (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without B. Prados Diaz, N. Williams, A. Laporte, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Espanyol won 5 times, Athletic Club won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Espanyol's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.1%)
Predicted formations: Espanyol 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Espanyol 4, Athletic Club 4
H2H summary: Espanyol wins 5, draws 5, Athletic Club wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2