Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Esenler Erokspor
Çorum FK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Esenler Erokspor
38 matches
Çorum FK
41 matches
| Esenler Erokspor | Statistic | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 23 |
| 11 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 81 | Goals For | 65 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.87 | Shots On Goal | 5.02 |
| 12.76 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 6.63 |
| 57.9% | Ball Possession | 59.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Çorum FK have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Esenler Erokspor needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Esenler Erokspor had more of the ball in the first leg (54% possession compared to 46%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Esenler Erokspor also attempted more passes (425 to 367) and completed 329. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Çorum FK. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Esenler Erokspor enter this tie with a season profile built on 74 points from 38 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 21 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats with goals at 81:35 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on O. Kayode (17 goals), H. Catakovic (14 goals), M. Faye (10 goals), with creative support from Amilton (12 assists), E. Alic (7 assists), H. Catakovic (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Çorum FK arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 71 points after 38 matches. With 21 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses plus a goal ratio of 63:39, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on B. Coban (12 goals), Braian Samudio (10 goals), E. Eze (10 goals), with creative support from Yusuf Erdoğan (11 assists), Braian Samudio (5 assists), B. Coban (3 assists), while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 2 times, Çorum FK won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Esenler Erokspor's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Esenler Erokspor
Home
|
38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 4 |
Çorum FK
Away
|
38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|