SWEDEN ELITETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Elfsborg W
Match Timeline
Umeå W
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
Elfsborg W
Elfsborg W
39'
V. Lopez
Elfsborg W
49'
S. Jensen · Assist: H. Jiozon
Elfsborg W
🟨
51'
T. Skoglund
Elfsborg W
🟨
54'
V. Lopez
Elfsborg W
55'
L. M. Westbom
Umeå W
🟨
60'
C. Larsson
Umeå W
🔄
63'
T. Skoglund ↔ H. Petersson
Elfsborg W
🔄
63'
T. Ahlen ↔ A. Forss
Umeå W
🔄
63'
I. Goldmann ↔ T. Backstrom
Umeå W
🔄
75'
L. Pettersson ↔ T. Heikkinen
Umeå W
🔄
76'
V. Lopez ↔ E. Burvall
Elfsborg W
🟨
81'
E. Becker
Umeå W
88'
S. Jensen
Elfsborg W
🔄
90+1'
L. Nystrom ↔ T. Olausson
Elfsborg W
🔄
90+1'
S. Jensen ↔ J. Gilkes
Elfsborg W
🔄
90+1'
H. Jiozon ↔ M. Josefsson
Elfsborg W

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.7%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Elfsborg W Win 59.7%
Draw 7.3%
Umeå W Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Elfsborg W1.48
Umeå W1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Elfsborg W Elfsborg W
WWDLW
16 GF / 2 GA
Umeå W Umeå W
WLDWL
17 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.7
0.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
2
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Elfsborg W Elfsborg W 10 matches
Umeå W Umeå W 10 matches
Elfsborg W Statistic Umeå W
7 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 4
16 Goals For 17
2 Goals Against 13
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
0.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
2 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Umeå W. Umeå W arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå W having the stronger overall control. Elfsborg W arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to Umeå W in 7 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Elfsborg W Analysis

Elfsborg W approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 24 points after 10 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 16:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Umeå W Analysis

Umeå W sit 7 with 14 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 17:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Elfsborg W won 2 times, Umeå W won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Elfsborg W's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
H2H summary: Elfsborg W wins 2, draws 0, Umeå W wins 1

Lineups

Elfsborg W
Formation
Umeå W
T. Torstensson
T. Torstensson
T. Skoglund
T. Skoglund
L. Nyström
L. Nyström
M. Martensson
M. Martensson
T. Loren
T. Loren
V. Lopez
V. Lopez
H. Jiozon
H. Jiozon
S. Jensen
S. Jensen
H. Gunnarsson
H. Gunnarsson
J. Brinck
J. Brinck
I. Bergström
I. Bergström
E. Björklund
E. Björklund
L. Westbom
L. Westbom
L. Tjarnberg
L. Tjarnberg
L. Pettersson
L. Pettersson
C. Larsson
C. Larsson
J. Holmgren
J. Holmgren
I. Goldmann
I. Goldmann
E. Becker
E. Becker
I. Amcoff
I. Amcoff
T. Ahlen
T. Ahlen
Elfsborg W 1-6-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Torstensson
G
21
T. Skoglund
M
11
L. Nyström
M
5
M. Martensson
13
T. Loren
D
9
V. Lopez
⚽ 39' ↓ 76' 🟨 54'
F
7
H. Jiozon
M
10
S. Jensen
F
6
H. Gunnarsson
M
19
J. Brinck
M
25
I. Bergström
M
Substitutes
12
H. Petersson
D
22
M. Josefsson
4
J. Gilkes
↑ 90+1'
D
14
E. Burvall
↑ 76'
M
2
S. Berggren
D
Umeå W 4-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Björklund
G
9
L. Westbom
M
3
L. Tjarnberg
D
13
L. Pettersson
↓ 75'
D
15
C. Larsson
🟨 60'
M
5
J. Holmgren
D
14
I. Goldmann
F
4
E. Becker
D
29
I. Amcoff
M
12
T. Ahlen
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
2
T. Sörlén
M
7
T. Sahlman
M
20
T. Heikkinen
↑ 75'
D
21
A. Forss
↑ 63'
F
30
I. Bardosen
G
16
T. Bäckström
F
Last matches: Elfsborg W
01.08.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Trelleborg W
0
0
D
18.06.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Husqvarna W
1
1
D
13.06.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Göteborg W
1
1
D
30.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Enskede W
3
0
W
23.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Häcken II W
1
0
W
15.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Alingsås W
1
0
W
07.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Jitex W
2
0
W
02.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Linköping W
0
0
D
26.04.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Gamla Upsala W
2
0
W
03.04.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Örebro SK W
2
0
W
28.03.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
KIF Örebro W
3
0
W
Last matches: Umeå W
01.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
Göteborg W
1
1
D
21.06.26
Eli
Umeå W
Örebro SK W
0
1
L
14.06.26
Eli
Umeå W
Linköping W
1
2
L
30.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Trelleborg W
0
2
L
23.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Alingsås W
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Sandviken W
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Gamla Upsala W
3
2
W
02.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Enskede W
1
1
D
25.04.26
Eli
Umeå W
Häcken II W
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Umeå W
KIF Örebro W
2
2
D
28.03.26
Eli
Umeå W
Jitex W
4
0
W
H2H: Elfsborg W vs Umeå W
25.07.26
H2H
Elfsborg W
Umeå W
4
1
W
15.11.25
H2H
Elfsborg W
Umeå W
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Umeå W
Elfsborg W
2
1
L
Last matches: Elfsborg W
01.08.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Trelleborg W
0
0
D
13.06.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Göteborg W
1
1
D
30.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Enskede W
3
0
W
07.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Jitex W
2
0
W
02.05.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Linköping W
0
0
D
03.04.26
Eli
Elfsborg W
Örebro SK W
2
0
W
H2H at home: Elfsborg W
25.07.26
H2H
Elfsborg W
Umeå W
4
1
W
15.11.25
H2H
Elfsborg W
Umeå W
1
0
W
Last matches: Umeå W
21.06.26
Eli
Umeå W
Örebro SK W
0
1
L
23.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Alingsås W
0
2
L
09.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Gamla Upsala W
3
2
W
02.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Enskede W
1
1
D
28.03.26
Eli
Umeå W
Jitex W
4
0
W
H2H away: Umeå W
25.07.26
H2H
Elfsborg W
Umeå W
4
1
L
15.11.25
H2H
Elfsborg W
Umeå W
1
0
L