SPAIN LA LIGA
17.05.2026 17:00
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Referee: V. Garcia
Elche
Match Timeline
Getafe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Martim Neto
Elche
19'
V. Chust
Elche
🟥
39'
Djené
Getafe
🔄
53'
D. Caceres ↔ Davinchi
Getafe
🟨
66'
André Silva
Elche
🔄
66'
Andre Silva ↔ A. Pedrosa
Elche
🟨
69'
Álvaro Rodriguez
Elche
🔄
71'
A. Nyom ↔ L. Vazquez
Getafe
🔄
72'
D. Duarte ↔ A. Abqar
Getafe
🔄
84'
M. Aguado ↔ J. Donald
Elche
🔄
84'
G. Diangana ↔ L. Cepeda
Elche
🔄
85'
V. Chust ↔ Buba Sangare
Elche
🔄
85'
M. Martin ↔ V. Birmancevic
Getafe
🔄
86'
A. Rodriguez ↔ Josan
Elche
🟨
90+5'
Martín Satriano
Getafe

Elche vs Getafe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Elche Win 55.7%
Draw 0%
Getafe Win 44.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche1.26
Getafe1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Elche Elche
WWDLW
55 GF / 59 GA
Getafe Getafe
WLDWL
46 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
28
BTTS Yes
13
25
Over 2.5
13
3.74
Shots on Goal
2.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Elche Elche 40 matches
Getafe Getafe 39 matches
Elche Statistic Getafe
12 Wins 16
12 Draws 6
16 Losses 17
55 Goals For 46
59 Goals Against 42
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
28 BTTS Yes 13
32 Over 1.5 25
25 Over 2.5 13
16 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 16
3.74 Shots On Goal 2.87
10.67 Total Shots 9.69
3.77 Corners 4.36
56.4% Ball Possession 39.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Getafe. Getafe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Elche expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Getafe in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Getafe having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Elche Analysis

With 39 points from 35 games and a place of 14, Elche still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 46:54, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andre Silva (10 goals), R. Mir (8 goals), A. Rodriguez (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rodriguez (5 assists), M. Neto (5 assists), G. Valera (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Getafe Analysis

With 45 points from 35 games and a place of 7, Getafe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 28:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mauro Arambarri (6 goals), B. Mayoral (4 goals), Martín Satriano (4 goals), with creative support from L. Milla (9 assists), Mauro Arambarri (2 assists), Abdelkabir Abqar (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 5 times, Getafe won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Elche's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Elche 3-5-2 / Getafe 5-3-2
Missing players: Elche 4, Getafe 2
H2H summary: Elche wins 5, draws 5, Getafe wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15
Elche Home
38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2