Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Eibar
Malaga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Eibar
40 matches
Malaga
39 matches
| Eibar | Statistic | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 18 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 12 |
| 52 | Goals For | 66 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 5.03 |
| 11.03 | Total Shots | 12.9 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Malaga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Eibar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Eibar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Malaga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malaga having the stronger overall control.
Eibar are currently 7 in the standings with 61 points from 37 matches. The record of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 45:32 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Javier Marton (12 goals), J. Bautista (6 goals), A. Arbilla (4 goals), with creative support from José Corpas (6 assists), A. Garrido (4 assists), Javier Marton (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Malaga sit 8 with 60 points after 37 league matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 62:47 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Chupe (19 goals), A. Nino (10 goals), David Larrubia (9 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Muñoz (4 assists), Chupe (3 assists), David Larrubia (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Eibar won 6 times, Malaga won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Eibar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Eibar
5
8
6
6
2
5
Lineups
Eibar
Real Unión
Eibar
Arenas Getxo
Eibar
Real Sociedad II
Eibar
Athletic Club
Eibar
Alaves
Eibar
Castellón
Eibar
Cordoba
Eibar
Cultural Leonesa
Eibar
Mirandes
Eibar
Albacete
Eibar
Huesca
Eibar
Valladolid
Eibar
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
Real Sociedad II
Eibar
Las Palmas
Eibar
FC Andorra
Eibar
Burgos
Eibar
Leganes
Eibar
Cadiz
Eibar
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Al-Arabi SC
Malaga
Al-Ittihad FC
Malaga
Leicester
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Zaragoza
Malaga
Racing Santander
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
FC Andorra
Malaga
Leganes
Malaga
Cadiz
Malaga
Huesca
Eibar
Arenas Getxo
Eibar
Cordoba
Eibar
Huesca
Eibar
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
Las Palmas
Eibar
Burgos
Eibar
Cadiz
Eibar
Racing Santander
Eibar
Sporting Gijon
Eibar
Almeria
Eibar
Mirandes
Eibar
Valladolid
Eibar
Elche
Eibar
Cultural Leonesa
Eibar
Zaragoza
Eibar
Albacete
Eibar
Leganes
Eibar
Castellón
Eibar
Deportivo La Coruna
Eibar
Real Sociedad II
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Zaragoza
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
FC Andorra
Malaga
Cadiz
Malaga
Granada CF
Malaga
Real Sociedad II
Malaga
Mirandes
Malaga
Cordoba
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Albacete
Malaga
CF Talavera
Malaga
Valladolid
Malaga
Cultural Leonesa
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga
Estepona
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Malaga
Away
|
42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Eibar
Home
|
42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|