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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
18.10.2026 11:30
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion
Referee: Robin Braun

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds 2.64
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.9%
2.64 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.56 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Dresden Win 27.1%
Draw 4.1%
1. FC Magdeburg Win 68.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo Dresden2.07
1. FC Magdeburg2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
WWDLW
40 GF / 23 GA
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
WLDWL
29 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
2.42
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
9
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
5.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 15 matches
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 12 matches
Dynamo Dresden Statistic 1. FC Magdeburg
7 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 2
40 Goals For 29
23 Goals Against 14
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.42
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 5.71
12.29 Total Shots 15.29
7.14 Corners 6.14
55.1% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by 1. FC Magdeburg's more proactive style and Dynamo Dresden's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Dynamo Dresden have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dynamo Dresden expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 1. FC Magdeburg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Magdeburg having the stronger overall control. 1. FC Magdeburg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Dynamo Dresden sit 16 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Magdeburg.

Dynamo Dresden Analysis

Dynamo Dresden sit 16 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Hauptmann (1 goals), J. Sterner (1 goals), B. Bobzien (1 goals), with creative support from V. Vermeij (2 assists), N. Hauptmann (1 assists), J. Sterner (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Magdeburg Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 7 games, 1. FC Magdeburg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on E. Iyoha (5 goals), A. Nollenberger (3 goals), M. Żukowski (3 goals), with creative support from B. Atik (4 assists), A. Nollenberger (1 assists), L. Hyryläinen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Dresden won 4 times, 1. FC Magdeburg won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Dynamo Dresden's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
H2H summary: Dynamo Dresden wins 4, draws 4, 1. FC Magdeburg wins 1

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 7 4 2 1 14:12 2 14
D D W W W
4 7 4 1 2 14:9 5 13
W D W L W
5 7 3 3 1 19:12 7 12
D W L D W
6 7 3 3 1 6:4 2 12
D W L W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:8 2 10
W D W D L
8 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
9 7 2 2 3 11:12 -1 8
W D L D L
10 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L W W
11 7 2 1 4 13:13 0 7
W L D L L
12 7 2 1 4 5:7 -2 7
L L D W L
13 7 2 1 4 7:12 -5 7
L W L D W
14 7 2 1 4 8:14 -6 7
W L W L L
15 7 1 3 3 10:13 -3 6
L D D L W
16 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
17 7 1 2 4 9:15 -6 5
D L D L L
18 7 1 2 4 6:14 -8 5
L L L D L
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