Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Drogheda United
20 matches
Dundalk
19 matches
| Drogheda United | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 5 |
| 26 | Goals For | 34 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.59 | Shots On Goal | 6.06 |
| 9.71 | Total Shots | 16.06 |
| 4 | Corners | 6.29 |
| 39% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Dundalk's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dundalk.
Drogheda United sit 8 with 19 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 21:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Doyle (7 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (2 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 25 points from 17 games and a place of 4, Dundalk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats with a 28:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Horgan (5 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (5 assists), G. Arubi (3 assists), E. Kenny (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 2 times, Dundalk won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Drogheda United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Drogheda United
2
6
4
4
2
4
Lineups
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
UCD
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
UCD
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 5 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Home
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 21 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 19 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 14 |
W
D
L
W
D
|