ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.5%
1.70
BTTS No
71.7%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.39
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Boca Juniors Win 37.5%
Draw 21.3%
Estudiantes L.P. Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boca Juniors1
Estudiantes L.P.1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WWDLW
39 GF / 23 GA
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WLDWL
35 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
12
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
8
4.68
Shots on Goal
5.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 30 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 27 matches
Boca Juniors Statistic Estudiantes L.P.
14 Wins 14
9 Draws 7
7 Losses 6
39 Goals For 35
23 Goals Against 15
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
12 BTTS Yes 8
20 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 9
4.68 Shots On Goal 5.04
13.48 Total Shots 13.92
5.4 Corners 4.44
59.6% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Estudiantes L.P.. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boca Juniors expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Estudiantes L.P. in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes L.P. having the stronger overall control.

Boca Juniors Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 16 games, Boca Juniors bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 22:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Milton Giménez (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), Alan Velasco (2 goals), with creative support from Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Tomás Aranda (2 assists), Exequiel Zeballos (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 31 points from 16 matches. The record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 19:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Mikel Amondarain (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (2 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), Brian Aguirre (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors won 6 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Boca Juniors's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1 / Estudiantes L.P. 4-4-2
H2H summary: Boca Juniors wins 6, draws 3, Estudiantes L.P. wins 6
Last matches: Boca Juniors
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
26.07.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
0
3
L
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
01.08.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
3
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
23.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
5
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
2
1
W
13.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
25.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
H2H: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.
29.01.26
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
1
2
W
19.04.25
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
27.08.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
30.04.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
13.04.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
1
0
L
23.11.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
2
3
L
28.10.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
24.07.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
3
1
W
14.03.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
0
1
W
15.08.21
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
1
0
L
15.09.19
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
20.08.18
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
2
0
L
11.12.17
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
0
1
W
Last matches: Boca Juniors
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
25.02.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Platense
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Olimpia
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Millonarios
0
0
D
H2H at home: Boca Juniors
19.04.25
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
23.11.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
2
3
L
28.10.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
24.07.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
3
1
W
15.09.19
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
21.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
2
1
W
25.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
1
1
D
H2H away: Estudiantes L.P.
19.04.25
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
L
23.11.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
2
3
W
28.10.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
3
1
L
15.09.19
H2H
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.90
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 1.91
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.05
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 6.00
Over 4.5 15.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.87
Draw 2.94
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 1.78
Home 2.99
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 2.08
Home 2.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.12
Over 1.0 1.16
Over 1.25 1.41
Over 1.5 1.62
Over 1.75 1.81
Over 2.0 2.08
Over 2.25 2.42
Over 2.5 2.76
Over 2.75 3.42
Over 3.0 4.85
Over 3.25 5.30
Over 3.5 5.75
Over 3.75 8.45
Over 4.0 10.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 25.00
Under 0.5 5.75
Under 0.75 5.12
Under 1.0 4.40
Under 1.25 2.91
Under 1.5 2.29
Under 1.75 2.00
Under 2.0 1.64
Under 2.25 1.45
Under 2.5 1.35
Under 2.75 1.23
Under 3.0 1.11
Under 3.25 1.09
Under 3.5 1.07
Under 3.75 1.03
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.95
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 1.88
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.18
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.58
Over 1.75 1.79
Over 2.0 2.14
Over 2.25 2.50
Over 2.5 2.90
Over 2.75 3.55
Over 3.5 5.80
Over 4.5 12.50
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 1.5 2.28
Under 1.75 1.98
Under 2.0 1.67
Under 2.25 1.49
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 2.75 1.27
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 4.5 1.01