GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
15.08.2026 15:00
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
Rustavi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
Jean
Rustavi
🟨
31'
L. Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
39'
P. Osei · Assist: Y. Nakano
Rustavi
45'
S. Kessi · Assist: K. Ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
46'
Welton ↔ K. Doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
M. Do Couto ↔ T. Kvaratskhelia
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
L. Houri ↔ J. Kankava
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
P. Osei ↔ G. Chkheidze
Rustavi
🔄
67'
Y. Nakano ↔ K. Kakashvili
Rustavi
🔄
67'
Jean ↔ L. Parkadze
Rustavi
🔄
71'
B. Osei ↔ K. Kakashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
78'
S. Kessi ↔ I. Iakobidze
Rustavi
🟨
85'
I. Iakobidze
Rustavi
🔄
89'
K. Ceijas ↔ N. Japaridze
Rustavi
🟨
90+2'
M. Vatsadze
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Rustavi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 62.6%
Draw 5.3%
Rustavi Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.36
Rustavi1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WWDLW
48 GF / 45 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
32 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
20
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 31 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 27 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic Rustavi
12 Wins 12
10 Draws 7
9 Losses 8
48 Goals For 32
45 Goals Against 29
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
20 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 18
17 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rustavi look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rustavi. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 31 points from 19 games, Dinamo Tbilisi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 31:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 35 points after 20 outings. The return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 23:18, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, Rustavi won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 / Rustavi 4-3-3
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7, draws 2, Rustavi wins 3

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
2 25 12 7 6 31:21 10 43
D L D W W
3 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
4 24 10 9 5 36:27 9 39
D D W L W
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 25 8 9 8 38:29 9 33
D D L D W
7 25 9 5 11 34:46 -12 32
L L D W L
8 25 6 10 9 24:32 -8 28
D L W L D
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 25 2 10 13 19:42 -23 16
D D W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2